Beam Global Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BEEM Stock  USD 1.60  0.12  6.98%   
Beam Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Beam Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Beam Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Beam Global fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Beam Global's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Beam Global, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Beam Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Beam Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Beam Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Beam Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Beam Global's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.13)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.60)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.54)
Wall Street Target Price
3.25
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.24)
Using Beam Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beam Global from the perspective of Beam Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Beam Global using Beam Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Beam using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Beam Global's stock price.

Beam Global Short Interest

An investor who is long Beam Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Beam Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge Beam Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
2.0911
Short Percent
0.1846
Short Ratio
1.12
Shares Short Prior Month
1.1 M
50 Day MA
1.7518

Beam Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beam Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32.

Beam Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Beam Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Beam. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Beam can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Beam Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Beam Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Beam Global.

Beam Global Implied Volatility

    
  2.87  
Beam Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Beam Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Beam Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Beam Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Beam Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beam Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32.

Beam Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beam Global to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Beam Stock, please use our How to Invest in Beam Global guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Beam Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Beam Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Beam Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Beam Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Beam Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Beam Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Beam Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Beam. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Beam Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Beam price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beam using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beam charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Beam Global simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Beam Global are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Beam Global prices get older.

Beam Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beam Global on the next trading day is expected to be 1.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beam Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beam Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beam Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Beam Global  Beam Global Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Beam Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beam Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beam Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.55, respectively. We have considered Beam Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.60
1.60
Expected Value
6.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beam Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beam Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.4755
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.011
MADMean absolute deviation0.072
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0402
SAESum of the absolute errors4.32
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Beam Global forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Beam Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Beam Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beam Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Beam Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.606.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.426.41
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.963.253.61
Details

Beam Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Beam Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beam Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beam Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Beam Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Beam Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beam Global's historical news coverage. Beam Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 6.59, respectively. We have considered Beam Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.60
1.60
After-hype Price
6.59
Upside
Beam Global is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beam Global is based on 3 months time horizon.

Beam Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beam Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beam Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beam Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.57 
4.95
  0.02 
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.60
1.60
0.00 
12,375  
Notes

Beam Global Hype Timeline

Beam Global is currently traded for 1.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Beam is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.57%. %. The volatility of related hype on Beam Global is about 14142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.58. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Beam Global recorded a loss per share of 1.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of April 2019. The firm had 1:50 split on the 16th of April 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beam Global to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Beam Stock, please use our How to Invest in Beam Global guide.

Beam Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Beam Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beam Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Beam Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beam Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SPRUSpruce Power Holding 0.03 8 per month 5.37  0.16  13.68 (7.19) 81.84 
MAXNMaxeon Solar Technologies 0.14 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.76 (6.48) 19.03 
SMXTSolarmax Technology Common 0.01 3 per month 5.53 (0.01) 10.23 (10.20) 29.70 
VVPRVivoPower International PLC(0.36)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 11.84 (11.56) 36.18 
RCONRecon Technology(0.12)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.11 (6.38) 18.11 
DWSNDawson Geophysical(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.46 (5.56) 16.23 
PEDPEDEVCO Corp 0.01 10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 6.00 (7.27) 16.10 
ZEOZeo Energy Corp 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 7.56 (8.72) 24.78 
USEGUS Energy Corp(0.01)11 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.07 (5.05) 13.11 
INDOIndonesia Energy(0.03)6 per month 3.63  0.14  10.28 (5.06) 29.54 

Other Forecasting Options for Beam Global

For every potential investor in Beam, whether a beginner or expert, Beam Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beam Global's price trends.

Beam Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beam Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beam Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beam Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beam Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beam Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beam Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beam Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beam Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beam Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beam Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beam Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beam stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Beam Global

The number of cover stories for Beam Global depends on current market conditions and Beam Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beam Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beam Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Beam Global Short Properties

Beam Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Beam Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beam Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beam Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beam Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.6 M
When determining whether Beam Global is a strong investment it is important to analyze Beam Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Beam Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Beam Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beam Global to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Beam Stock, please use our How to Invest in Beam Global guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Beam diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beam Global. Projected growth potential of Beam fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Beam Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(1.72)
Revenue Per Share
1.757
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.50)
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.80)
Investors evaluate Beam Global using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Beam Global's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Beam Global's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Beam Global's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Beam Global should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Beam Global's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.