Bel Fuse Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BELFA Stock | USD 190.47 1.64 0.85% |
Bel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bel Fuse stock prices and determine the direction of Bel Fuse A's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bel Fuse's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Bel Fuse's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.729 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.45 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.68 | Wall Street Target Price 110 |
Using Bel Fuse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bel Fuse A from the perspective of Bel Fuse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bel Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bel Fuse A on the next trading day is expected to be 195.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 352.84.Bel Fuse A Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bel Fuse's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bel Fuse A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bel Fuse's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bel Fuse.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bel Fuse A on the next trading day is expected to be 195.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 352.84. Bel Fuse after-hype prediction price | USD 189.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bel Fuse to cross-verify your projections. Bel Fuse Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bel Fuse Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bel Fuse A on the next trading day is expected to be 195.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69, mean absolute percentage error of 52.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 352.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bel Fuse's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bel Fuse Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bel Fuse | Bel Fuse Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bel Fuse Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bel Fuse's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bel Fuse's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 192.48 and 198.99, respectively. We have considered Bel Fuse's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bel Fuse stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bel Fuse stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.9072 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.6909 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0383 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 352.8355 |
Predictive Modules for Bel Fuse
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bel Fuse A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bel Fuse After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bel Fuse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bel Fuse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bel Fuse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bel Fuse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bel Fuse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bel Fuse's historical news coverage. Bel Fuse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 186.59 and 193.09, respectively. We have considered Bel Fuse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bel Fuse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bel Fuse A is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bel Fuse Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bel Fuse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bel Fuse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bel Fuse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 3.25 | 0.63 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
190.47 | 189.84 | 0.33 |
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Bel Fuse Hype Timeline
Bel Fuse A is currently traded for 190.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.63, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Bel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 189.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Bel Fuse is about 12500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 190.48. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. Bel Fuse A last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 1999. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bel Fuse to cross-verify your projections.Bel Fuse Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bel Fuse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bel Fuse's future price movements. Getting to know how Bel Fuse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bel Fuse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OUST | Ouster Common Stock | 0.34 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.71 | (8.94) | 20.17 | |
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.52 | (3.31) | 11.36 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | (1.31) | 12 per month | 1.59 | 0.16 | 3.97 | (3.10) | 13.12 | |
| CXM | Sprinklr | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.65 | (4.61) | 10.05 | |
| PLUS | ePlus inc | (0.89) | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.08 | 3.71 | (2.34) | 19.34 | |
| ASGN | ASGN Inc | 0.35 | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.11 | 4.91 | (3.13) | 12.11 | |
| PAYO | Payoneer Global | 0.09 | 7 per month | 2.04 | 0.02 | 3.70 | (3.66) | 13.13 | |
| KN | Knowles Cor | 0.68 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.02 | 3.54 | (3.55) | 9.21 | |
| TDC | Teradata Corp | (0.61) | 8 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 4.26 | (3.67) | 39.70 | |
| VECO | Veeco Instruments | 1.41 | 10 per month | 2.68 | 0 | 4.73 | (4.61) | 13.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bel Fuse
For every potential investor in Bel, whether a beginner or expert, Bel Fuse's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bel Fuse's price trends.Bel Fuse Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bel Fuse stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bel Fuse could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bel Fuse by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bel Fuse Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bel Fuse stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bel Fuse shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bel Fuse stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bel Fuse A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2153.81 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.26) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 191.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 190.88 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.44) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.64) |
Bel Fuse Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bel Fuse's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bel Fuse's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bel Fuse
The number of cover stories for Bel Fuse depends on current market conditions and Bel Fuse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bel Fuse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bel Fuse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bel Fuse Short Properties
Bel Fuse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bel Fuse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bel Fuse A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bel Fuse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bel Fuse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 69.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bel Fuse to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bel Fuse. Projected growth potential of Bel fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Bel Fuse assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.729 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 4.93 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.448 |
Investors evaluate Bel Fuse A using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bel Fuse's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bel Fuse's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bel Fuse's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bel Fuse should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bel Fuse's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.