Horizon Funds Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BENJ Etf | 51.99 0.00 0.00% |
Horizon Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The relative strength momentum indicator of Horizon Funds' share price is above 80 suggesting that the etf is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 90
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Horizon Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horizon Funds from the perspective of Horizon Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Horizon Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 51.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54. Horizon Funds after-hype prediction price | USD 51.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Funds to cross-verify your projections. Horizon Funds Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Horizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Horizon Funds Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Horizon Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 51.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Horizon Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Horizon Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Horizon Funds Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Horizon Funds | Horizon Funds Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Horizon Funds Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Horizon Funds' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Horizon Funds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.97 and 52.01, respectively. We have considered Horizon Funds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Horizon Funds etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Horizon Funds etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.3988 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.008 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.009 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 2.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.5401 |
Predictive Modules for Horizon Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Horizon Funds After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Horizon Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horizon Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Horizon Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Horizon Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Horizon Funds' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horizon Funds' historical news coverage. Horizon Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.97 and 52.01, respectively. We have considered Horizon Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Horizon Funds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horizon Funds is based on 3 months time horizon.
Horizon Funds Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Horizon Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horizon Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horizon Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
51.99 | 51.99 | 0.00 |
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Horizon Funds Hype Timeline
Horizon Funds is currently traded for 51.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Horizon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 66.67%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Horizon Funds is about 55.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.99. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Funds to cross-verify your projections.Horizon Funds Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Horizon Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horizon Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how Horizon Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horizon Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLBL | Pacer Funds Trust | (0.39) | 14 per month | 0.85 | (0.04) | 1.05 | (1.53) | 4.26 | |
| NDAA | Ned Davis Research | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.53 | (0.01) | 0.98 | (1.12) | 2.78 | |
| FTIF | First Trust Bloomberg | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.81 | 0.10 | 1.96 | (1.68) | 4.17 | |
| HFEQ | Unlimited HFEQ Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.01 | 2.20 | (2.44) | 6.26 | |
| SUPL | ProShares Supply Chain | 0.07 | 5 per month | 0.63 | 0.07 | 1.87 | (1.25) | 4.72 | |
| FTKI | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.44 | 0.06 | 1.11 | (1.06) | 3.15 | |
| OOSB | One One SP | (0.15) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.93 | (5.13) | 15.03 | |
| IRVH | Global X Interest | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 0.34 | (0.49) | 1.32 | |
| TRIL | Defiance Trillion Dollar | 0.80 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.43 | (2.14) | 7.84 | |
| ZMUN | Fm Callable Tax Free | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (2.51) | 0.06 | (0.04) | 0.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Horizon Funds
For every potential investor in Horizon, whether a beginner or expert, Horizon Funds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Horizon Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Horizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Horizon Funds' price trends.Horizon Funds Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Horizon Funds etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Horizon Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Horizon Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Horizon Funds Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Horizon Funds etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Horizon Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Horizon Funds etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Horizon Funds entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 51.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 51.99 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 90.32 |
Horizon Funds Risk Indicators
The analysis of Horizon Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Horizon Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting horizon etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0132 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.017 | |||
| Variance | 3.0E-4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Horizon Funds
The number of cover stories for Horizon Funds depends on current market conditions and Horizon Funds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horizon Funds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horizon Funds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Funds to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
The market value of Horizon Funds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Funds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Funds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horizon Funds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Funds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horizon Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.