Blackrock Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BERI Stock | 188.00 3.00 1.62% |
Blackrock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Blackrock Energy's stock price is slightly above 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Blackrock, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 35.96 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 16.401 |
Using Blackrock Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackrock Energy and from the perspective of Blackrock Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blackrock Energy and on the next trading day is expected to be 187.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.31. Blackrock Energy after-hype prediction price | GBX 188.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Blackrock |
Blackrock Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blackrock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackrock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackrock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blackrock Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blackrock Energy and on the next trading day is expected to be 187.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.12, mean absolute percentage error of 7.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blackrock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blackrock Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blackrock Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blackrock Energy | Blackrock Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Blackrock Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blackrock Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blackrock Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 186.24 and 189.41, respectively. We have considered Blackrock Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blackrock Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blackrock Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.27 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.9399 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1218 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.3067 |
Predictive Modules for Blackrock Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Blackrock Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blackrock Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blackrock Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blackrock Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blackrock Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blackrock Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blackrock Energy's historical news coverage. Blackrock Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 186.42 and 189.62, respectively. We have considered Blackrock Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blackrock Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blackrock Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blackrock Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blackrock Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackrock Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blackrock Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 1.59 | 0.02 | 1.45 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
188.00 | 188.02 | 0.01 |
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Blackrock Energy Hype Timeline
Blackrock Energy is currently traded for 188.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.45. Blackrock is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 188.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Blackrock Energy is about 49.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 186.55. The company reported the revenue of 36.06 M. Net Income was 33.37 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.02 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blackrock Energy to cross-verify your projections.Blackrock Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blackrock Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blackrock Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Blackrock Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blackrock Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TIG | Team Internet Group | (1.20) | 3 per month | 1.86 | 0 | 3.33 | (3.16) | 9.24 | |
| 0A76 | British American Tobacco | (0.61) | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.35 | (1.93) | 7.35 | |
| AEO | Aeorema Communications Plc | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.57 | (3.05) | 9.42 | |
| GAMA | Gamma Communications PLC | (14.00) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.79 | (2.45) | 7.01 | |
| TRN | Trainline Plc | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.95 | (3.81) | 9.33 | |
| WIZZ | Wizz Air Holdings | (11.00) | 3 per month | 1.91 | 0.09 | 5.81 | (2.87) | 16.67 | |
| 0GE4 | United Internet AG | 0.09 | 4 per month | 1.74 | 0.04 | 2.40 | (3.60) | 10.58 | |
| 0MKQ | SSH Communications Security | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.97 | (7.89) | 35.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blackrock Energy
For every potential investor in Blackrock, whether a beginner or expert, Blackrock Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blackrock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blackrock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blackrock Energy's price trends.Blackrock Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blackrock Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blackrock Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackrock Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blackrock Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blackrock Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blackrock Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blackrock Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blackrock Energy and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Blackrock Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blackrock Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blackrock Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blackrock Energy
The number of cover stories for Blackrock Energy depends on current market conditions and Blackrock Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blackrock Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blackrock Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Blackrock Stock Analysis
When running Blackrock Energy's price analysis, check to measure Blackrock Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackrock Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Blackrock Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackrock Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackrock Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackrock Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.