Berry Global Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

BERY Stock  USD 71.71  0.78  1.10%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Berry Global Group on the next trading day is expected to be 66.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.57. Berry Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Berry Global's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 9.64 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 7.62 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 124.1 M in 2024, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 398.8 M in 2024.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Berry Global Group is based on a synthetically constructed Berry Globaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Berry Global 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Berry Global Group on the next trading day is expected to be 66.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70, mean absolute percentage error of 4.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Berry Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Berry Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Berry Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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Berry Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Berry Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Berry Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.47 and 68.06, respectively. We have considered Berry Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
71.71
66.76
Expected Value
68.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Berry Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Berry Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.8528
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.4836
MADMean absolute deviation1.6969
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0256
SAESum of the absolute errors69.5725
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Berry Global Group 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Berry Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berry Global Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.6470.9372.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.8480.5281.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.4366.0770.70
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
66.3672.9280.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Berry Global

For every potential investor in Berry, whether a beginner or expert, Berry Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Berry Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Berry. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Berry Global's price trends.

Berry Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Berry Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Berry Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Berry Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Berry Global Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Berry Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Berry Global's current price.

Berry Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Berry Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Berry Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Berry Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Berry Global Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Berry Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Berry Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Berry Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting berry stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Berry Stock Analysis

When running Berry Global's price analysis, check to measure Berry Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berry Global is operating at the current time. Most of Berry Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berry Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berry Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berry Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.