Betsson AB Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BETS-B Stock  SEK 144.24  0.66  0.46%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Betsson AB on the next trading day is expected to be 144.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.16. Betsson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Betsson AB stock prices and determine the direction of Betsson AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Betsson AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Betsson AB works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Betsson AB Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Betsson AB on the next trading day is expected to be 144.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32, mean absolute percentage error of 3.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Betsson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Betsson AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Betsson AB Stock Forecast Pattern

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Betsson AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Betsson AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Betsson AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 142.84 and 145.93, respectively. We have considered Betsson AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
144.24
142.84
Downside
144.38
Expected Value
145.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Betsson AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Betsson AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1485
MADMean absolute deviation1.3193
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors79.1557
When Betsson AB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Betsson AB trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Betsson AB observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Betsson AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Betsson AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
142.71144.24145.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130.45131.98158.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Betsson AB

For every potential investor in Betsson, whether a beginner or expert, Betsson AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Betsson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Betsson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Betsson AB's price trends.

Betsson AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Betsson AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Betsson AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Betsson AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Betsson AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Betsson AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Betsson AB's current price.

Betsson AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Betsson AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Betsson AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Betsson AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Betsson AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Betsson AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Betsson AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Betsson AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting betsson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Betsson Stock

Betsson AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Betsson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Betsson with respect to the benefits of owning Betsson AB security.