Baron Fintech Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Baron Fintech Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Baron Fintech is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Baron Fintech value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Baron Fintech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baron Fintech on the next trading day is expected to be 17.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.75.

Baron Fintech Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baron Fintech mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baron Fintech mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Baron Fintech. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Baron Fintech. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Baron Fintech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baron Fintech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 16.72 17.51 18.30 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.16 15.95 19.26 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 17.51 17.51 17.51 Details

Baron Fintech After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Baron Fintech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Baron Fintech Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Baron Fintech Hype Timeline

Baron Fintech is currently traded for 17.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Baron is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baron Fintech is about 29.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.46. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Baron Fintech Related Hype Analysis

Baron Fintech Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Baron Fintech Market Strength Events

Baron Fintech Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Baron Fintech

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Other Information on Investing in Baron Mutual Fund