Butterfly Network Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| BFLY Stock | USD 4.82 -0.03 -0.62% |
Butterfly Network's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The fit is assessed against recent observations, so the output reflects the latest available data. When MAPE exceeds 10%, the model's short-term predictive value is significantly reduced. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Butterfly Network at 4.97 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Butterfly Network at 4.97 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and sum of absolute errors of 11.96 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Butterfly Network's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Butterfly Network | Butterfly Network Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Butterfly Network frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The forecast band spans 0.05 to 13.16. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Butterfly Network stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.5861 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0729 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2099 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0473 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.9625 |
Other Forecasting Options for Butterfly Network
Volume-weighted price analysis for Butterfly Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line identify shifts in Butterfly momentum before they appear in raw price. Comparing Butterfly Network's realized volatility to implied volatility reveals whether the options market expects larger or smaller moves. Readings above 80 or below 20 highlight potential reversal zones in Butterfly Stock price action.Butterfly Network Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Health Care space frame Butterfly Network's pricing and running costs in context. Looking at Butterfly Network's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to Butterfly Network often signals structural advantages or weaknesses. This peer set gives the context needed for a well-rounded view of Butterfly Network.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Butterfly Network Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Butterfly Network, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Butterfly Network. These metrics are particularly useful when Butterfly Network stock shows divergence from broader market trends. These metrics provide additional context for comparing intraday conviction with broader price movement in Butterfly Network.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.03 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.11 |
Butterfly Network Risk Indicators
Analyzing Butterfly Network's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for butterfly stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Butterfly Network. Semi-deviation focuses exclusively on returns below the mean, making it a more conservative risk gauge for Butterfly Network than full standard deviation. The risk-return trade-off for butterfly stock becomes clearer when downside and total variance are viewed together.
| Mean Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.28 | |||
| Variance | 68.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 37.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 26.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -5.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Butterfly Network Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Butterfly Network is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 247.12 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150.49 million |