Bullfrog Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BFRGW Stock | 0.22 0.03 15.79% |
Bullfrog Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bullfrog's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bullfrog, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bullfrog hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bullfrog AI Holdings from the perspective of Bullfrog response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bullfrog AI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.70. Bullfrog after-hype prediction price | USD 0.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bullfrog to cross-verify your projections. Bullfrog Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bullfrog price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bullfrog using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bullfrog charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Bullfrog's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 6.3 M | Current Value 6.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 2.4 M |
Bullfrog Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bullfrog AI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bullfrog Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bullfrog's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bullfrog Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bullfrog | Bullfrog Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bullfrog Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bullfrog's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bullfrog's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 15.65, respectively. We have considered Bullfrog's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bullfrog stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bullfrog stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.5597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0278 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.6968 |
Predictive Modules for Bullfrog
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bullfrog AI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bullfrog After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bullfrog at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bullfrog or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bullfrog, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bullfrog Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bullfrog's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bullfrog's historical news coverage. Bullfrog's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 15.81, respectively. We have considered Bullfrog's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bullfrog is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bullfrog AI Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bullfrog Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bullfrog is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bullfrog backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bullfrog, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 15.45 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.22 | 0.22 | 15.70 |
|
Bullfrog Hype Timeline
Bullfrog AI Holdings is currently traded for 0.22. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Bullfrog is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 15.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Bullfrog is about 8131.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.15. Bullfrog AI Holdings has accumulated 588.09 K in total debt. Note, when we think about Bullfrog's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bullfrog to cross-verify your projections.Bullfrog Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bullfrog's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bullfrog's future price movements. Getting to know how Bullfrog's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bullfrog may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACON | Aclarion | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 8.26 | (9.72) | 83.58 | |
| SILO | Silo Pharma | 0.03 | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 8.33 | (6.98) | 24.79 | |
| MOVE | Movano Inc | (0.26) | 8 per month | 5.95 | 0.12 | 11.67 | (14.03) | 164.71 | |
| NAOV | NAOV Old | (0.24) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 10.43 | (9.07) | 93.37 | |
| NDRA | ENDRA Life Sciences | (0.83) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.24 | (11.36) | 38.62 | |
| BJDX | Bluejay Diagnostics | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 7.69 | (10.11) | 21.46 | |
| GRI | GRI Bio | (0.48) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 11.88 | (14.49) | 77.17 | |
| BBLG | Bone Biologics Corp | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.84 | (9.52) | 22.82 | |
| CLDI | Calidi Biotherapeutics | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.56 | (7.14) | 24.52 | |
| WINT | Windtree Therapeutics | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 20.00 | (20.00) | 58.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bullfrog
For every potential investor in Bullfrog, whether a beginner or expert, Bullfrog's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bullfrog Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bullfrog. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bullfrog's price trends.Bullfrog Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bullfrog stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bullfrog could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bullfrog by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bullfrog Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bullfrog stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bullfrog shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bullfrog stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bullfrog AI Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bullfrog Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bullfrog's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bullfrog's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bullfrog stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.88 | |||
| Variance | 221.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bullfrog
The number of cover stories for Bullfrog depends on current market conditions and Bullfrog's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bullfrog is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bullfrog's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Bullfrog Short Properties
Bullfrog's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bullfrog's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bullfrog AI Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bullfrog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bullfrog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 M |
Additional Tools for Bullfrog Stock Analysis
When running Bullfrog's price analysis, check to measure Bullfrog's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bullfrog is operating at the current time. Most of Bullfrog's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bullfrog's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bullfrog's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bullfrog to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.