Biofrontera Warrants Stock Forward View
| BFRIW Stock | USD 0.06 0.0001 0.16% |
Biofrontera Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the RSI of Biofrontera Warrants' share price is approaching 38 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Biofrontera Warrants, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
Using Biofrontera Warrants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biofrontera Warrants from the perspective of Biofrontera Warrants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biofrontera Warrants on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.76. Biofrontera Warrants after-hype prediction price | USD 0.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Biofrontera Warrants Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Biofrontera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biofrontera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biofrontera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Biofrontera Warrants' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 7.2 M | Current Value 3.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 10.1 M |
Biofrontera Warrants Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biofrontera Warrants on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biofrontera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biofrontera Warrants' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Biofrontera Warrants Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Biofrontera Warrants | Biofrontera Warrants Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biofrontera Warrants stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biofrontera Warrants stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.08 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1242 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7644 |
Predictive Modules for Biofrontera Warrants
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biofrontera Warrants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Biofrontera Warrants After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Biofrontera Warrants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biofrontera Warrants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Biofrontera Warrants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Biofrontera Warrants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Biofrontera Warrants' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biofrontera Warrants' historical news coverage. Biofrontera Warrants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 20.18, respectively. We have considered Biofrontera Warrants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Biofrontera Warrants is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biofrontera Warrants is based on 3 months time horizon.
Biofrontera Warrants Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biofrontera Warrants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biofrontera Warrants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biofrontera Warrants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 20.11 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.06 | 0.07 | 10.41 |
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Biofrontera Warrants Hype Timeline
Biofrontera Warrants is currently traded for 0.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Biofrontera is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 10.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Biofrontera Warrants is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. Biofrontera Warrants has accumulated 4.92 M in total debt. Note, when we think about Biofrontera Warrants' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.Biofrontera Warrants Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Biofrontera Warrants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biofrontera Warrants' future price movements. Getting to know how Biofrontera Warrants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biofrontera Warrants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KLDO | Kaleido Biosciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,998 | |
| IVBT | Innovation1 Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XENO | Xeno Transplants | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CALA | Calithera Biosciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.34 | 0.13 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 280.00 | |
| NMRD | Nemaura Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| SYVC | Synovics Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNNAQ | Sienna Biopharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FPMI | Fluoropharma Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
Biofrontera Warrants Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biofrontera Warrants stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biofrontera Warrants could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biofrontera Warrants by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Biofrontera Warrants Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biofrontera Warrants stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biofrontera Warrants shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biofrontera Warrants stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Biofrontera Warrants entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.31 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0635 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0634 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 38.84 |
Biofrontera Warrants Risk Indicators
The analysis of Biofrontera Warrants' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biofrontera Warrants' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biofrontera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 11.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 12.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 20.09 | |||
| Variance | 403.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 241.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 151.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (18.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Biofrontera Warrants
The number of cover stories for Biofrontera Warrants depends on current market conditions and Biofrontera Warrants' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biofrontera Warrants is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biofrontera Warrants' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Biofrontera Warrants Short Properties
Biofrontera Warrants' future price predictability will typically decrease when Biofrontera Warrants' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Biofrontera Warrants often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Biofrontera Warrants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biofrontera Warrants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
Additional Tools for Biofrontera Stock Analysis
When running Biofrontera Warrants' price analysis, check to measure Biofrontera Warrants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biofrontera Warrants is operating at the current time. Most of Biofrontera Warrants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biofrontera Warrants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biofrontera Warrants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biofrontera Warrants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.