BlackRock California Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BFZ Stock | USD 10.95 0.03 0.27% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BlackRock California Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 10.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.00. BlackRock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of BlackRock California's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
Using BlackRock California hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlackRock California Municipal from the perspective of BlackRock California response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BlackRock California Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 10.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.00. BlackRock California after-hype prediction price | USD 10.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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BlackRock California Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BlackRock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlackRock using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlackRock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the BlackRock California's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2007-10-31 | Previous Quarter -22.6 M | Current Value 0.0 | Quarterly Volatility 6 M |
BlackRock California Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BlackRock California Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 10.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BlackRock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BlackRock California's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BlackRock California Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BlackRock California | BlackRock California Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BlackRock California Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BlackRock California's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BlackRock California's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.60 and 11.35, respectively. We have considered BlackRock California's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BlackRock California stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BlackRock California stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4636 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0323 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.003 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0032 |
Predictive Modules for BlackRock California
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BlackRock California After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BlackRock California at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BlackRock California or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BlackRock California, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BlackRock California Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BlackRock California's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BlackRock California's historical news coverage. BlackRock California's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.58 and 11.32, respectively. We have considered BlackRock California's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BlackRock California is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BlackRock California is based on 3 months time horizon.
BlackRock California Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BlackRock California is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlackRock California backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BlackRock California, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.95 | 10.95 | 0.00 |
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BlackRock California Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January BlackRock California is traded for 10.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BlackRock is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on BlackRock California is about 1761.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.95. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BlackRock California recorded a loss per share of 0.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock California to cross-verify your projections.BlackRock California Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BlackRock California's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BlackRock California's future price movements. Getting to know how BlackRock California's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BlackRock California may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BYM | BlackRock Municipal Income | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.31 | (0.16) | 0.74 | (0.55) | 2.02 | |
| BGT | BlackRock Floating Rate | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.73 | (0.1) | 0.64 | (0.97) | 2.87 | |
| BFK | BlackRock Municipal Income | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.43 | (0.09) | 1.01 | (0.81) | 2.32 | |
| BNY | BlackRock New York | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.60 | (0.69) | 2.56 | |
| FINS | Angel Oak Financial | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.44 | (0.03) | 0.87 | (0.85) | 2.94 | |
| RFMZ | RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.43 | (0.09) | 1.11 | (0.79) | 2.20 | |
| BLE | BlackRock MIT II | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.30 | (0.16) | 0.48 | (0.58) | 1.75 | |
| RMM | RiverNorth Managed Duration | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.45 | (0.10) | 0.88 | (0.72) | 2.89 | |
| BKT | BlackRock Income Closed | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.31 | (0.13) | 0.65 | (0.64) | 1.66 | |
| PPT | Putnam Premier Income | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.51 | (0.07) | 1.13 | (1.12) | 2.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for BlackRock California
For every potential investor in BlackRock, whether a beginner or expert, BlackRock California's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BlackRock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BlackRock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BlackRock California's price trends.BlackRock California Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BlackRock California stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BlackRock California could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock California by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BlackRock California Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BlackRock California stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BlackRock California shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BlackRock California stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BlackRock California Municipal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1417.16 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
BlackRock California Risk Indicators
The analysis of BlackRock California's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BlackRock California's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2752 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2367 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3581 | |||
| Variance | 0.1282 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1147 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.056 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BlackRock California
The number of cover stories for BlackRock California depends on current market conditions and BlackRock California's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BlackRock California is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BlackRock California's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BlackRock California Short Properties
BlackRock California's future price predictability will typically decrease when BlackRock California's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BlackRock California Municipal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BlackRock California's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock California's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.6 M |
Additional Tools for BlackRock Stock Analysis
When running BlackRock California's price analysis, check to measure BlackRock California's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlackRock California is operating at the current time. Most of BlackRock California's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlackRock California's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlackRock California's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlackRock California to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.