Bio Green Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BGMS Stock   1.41  0.07  4.73%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bio Green Med on the next trading day is expected to be 1.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.26. Bio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bio Green's stock price is slightly above 69 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bio, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bio Green's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bio Green and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bio Green's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bio Green Med, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bio Green hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bio Green Med from the perspective of Bio Green response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bio Green Med on the next trading day is expected to be 1.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.26.

Bio Green after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bio Green to cross-verify your projections.

Bio Green Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Bio Green is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bio Green Med value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bio Green Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bio Green Med on the next trading day is expected to be 1.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bio Green's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bio Green Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bio Green Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bio Green's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bio Green's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.68, respectively. We have considered Bio Green's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.41
1.80
Expected Value
10.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bio Green stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bio Green stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.839
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2174
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0975
SAESum of the absolute errors13.2597
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bio Green Med. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bio Green. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bio Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bio Green Med. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.1910.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.3510.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bio Green

For every potential investor in Bio, whether a beginner or expert, Bio Green's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bio Green's price trends.

Bio Green Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bio Green stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bio Green could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bio Green by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bio Green Med Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bio Green's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bio Green's current price.

Bio Green Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bio Green stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bio Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bio Green stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bio Green Med entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bio Green Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bio Green's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bio Green's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Bio Stock Analysis

When running Bio Green's price analysis, check to measure Bio Green's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bio Green is operating at the current time. Most of Bio Green's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bio Green's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bio Green's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bio Green to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.