Benguet Corp OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BGUUF Stock  USD 0.08  0.00  0.00%   
Benguet OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Benguet Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Benguet Corp's otc stock price is roughly 65 suggesting that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Benguet, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Benguet Corp B stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Benguet Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Benguet Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Benguet Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Benguet Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Benguet Corp B, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Benguet Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Benguet Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Benguet Corp B from the perspective of Benguet Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Benguet Corp B on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.

Benguet Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Benguet Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Benguet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Benguet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Benguet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Benguet Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Benguet Corp B value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Benguet Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Benguet Corp B on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Benguet OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Benguet Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Benguet Corp OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Benguet Corp  Benguet Corp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Benguet Corp otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Benguet Corp otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9031
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0121
MAPEMean absolute percentage error7.7254
SAESum of the absolute errors0.7401
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Benguet Corp B. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Benguet Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Benguet Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Benguet Corp B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Benguet Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0854.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0554.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00790.050.10
Details

Benguet Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Benguet Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Benguet Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Benguet Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Benguet Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Benguet Corp's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Benguet Corp's historical news coverage. Benguet Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 54.08, respectively. We have considered Benguet Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.08
0.08
After-hype Price
54.08
Upside
Benguet Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Benguet Corp B is based on 3 months time horizon.

Benguet Corp OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Benguet Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Benguet Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Benguet Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  22.60 
151.87
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.08
0.08
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Benguet Corp Hype Timeline

Benguet Corp B is currently traded for 0.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Benguet is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 22.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Benguet Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Benguet Corp B last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 1989. The entity had 1:1 split on the 20th of July 1990. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Benguet Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Benguet Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Benguet Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Benguet Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Benguet Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Benguet Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Benguet Corp otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Benguet Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Benguet Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Benguet Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Benguet Corp otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Benguet Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Benguet Corp otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Benguet Corp B entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Benguet Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Benguet Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Benguet Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting benguet otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Benguet Corp

The number of cover stories for Benguet Corp depends on current market conditions and Benguet Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Benguet Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Benguet Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Benguet OTC Stock

Benguet Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Benguet OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Benguet with respect to the benefits of owning Benguet Corp security.