Bumrungrad Hospital Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BH Stock  THB 207.00  1.00  0.49%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bumrungrad Hospital Public on the next trading day is expected to be 184.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 486.83. Bumrungrad Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Bumrungrad Hospital polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Bumrungrad Hospital Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Bumrungrad Hospital Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bumrungrad Hospital Public on the next trading day is expected to be 184.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.85, mean absolute percentage error of 86.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 486.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bumrungrad Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bumrungrad Hospital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bumrungrad Hospital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bumrungrad Hospital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bumrungrad Hospital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bumrungrad Hospital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 182.53 and 186.59, respectively. We have considered Bumrungrad Hospital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
207.00
182.53
Downside
184.56
Expected Value
186.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bumrungrad Hospital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bumrungrad Hospital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.4106
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.8521
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0316
SAESum of the absolute errors486.8316
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Bumrungrad Hospital historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Bumrungrad Hospital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bumrungrad Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.97207.00209.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
186.55188.58227.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
195.95213.00230.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bumrungrad Hospital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bumrungrad Hospital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bumrungrad Hospital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bumrungrad Hospital.

Other Forecasting Options for Bumrungrad Hospital

For every potential investor in Bumrungrad, whether a beginner or expert, Bumrungrad Hospital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bumrungrad Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bumrungrad. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bumrungrad Hospital's price trends.

Bumrungrad Hospital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bumrungrad Hospital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bumrungrad Hospital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bumrungrad Hospital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bumrungrad Hospital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bumrungrad Hospital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bumrungrad Hospital's current price.

Bumrungrad Hospital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bumrungrad Hospital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bumrungrad Hospital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bumrungrad Hospital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bumrungrad Hospital Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bumrungrad Hospital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bumrungrad Hospital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bumrungrad Hospital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bumrungrad stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Bumrungrad Stock

Bumrungrad Hospital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bumrungrad Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bumrungrad with respect to the benefits of owning Bumrungrad Hospital security.