BlueScope Steel Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BH5 Stock | EUR 16.50 0.10 0.60% |
BlueScope Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of BlueScope Steel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of BlueScope Steel's share price is above 70 as of 19th of February 2026 suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling BlueScope, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.187 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
Using BlueScope Steel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlueScope Steel Limited from the perspective of BlueScope Steel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BlueScope Steel Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 18.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.77. BlueScope Steel after-hype prediction price | EUR 17.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BlueScope |
BlueScope Steel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BlueScope price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlueScope using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlueScope charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BlueScope Steel Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BlueScope Steel Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 18.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 0.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BlueScope Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BlueScope Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BlueScope Steel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BlueScope Steel | BlueScope Steel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
BlueScope Steel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BlueScope Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BlueScope Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.45 and 21.21, respectively. We have considered BlueScope Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BlueScope Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BlueScope Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9749 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.816 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0538 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.7741 |
Predictive Modules for BlueScope Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlueScope Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BlueScope Steel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BlueScope Steel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BlueScope Steel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BlueScope Steel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BlueScope Steel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BlueScope Steel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BlueScope Steel's historical news coverage. BlueScope Steel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.68 and 20.44, respectively. We have considered BlueScope Steel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BlueScope Steel is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BlueScope Steel is based on 3 months time horizon.
BlueScope Steel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BlueScope Steel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlueScope Steel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BlueScope Steel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 2.88 | 1.06 | 0.07 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.50 | 17.56 | 6.42 |
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BlueScope Steel Hype Timeline
BlueScope Steel is currently traded for 16.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. BlueScope is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 165.52%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 6.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on BlueScope Steel is about 2446.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.57. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.02 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.06 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.06. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlueScope Steel to cross-verify your projections.BlueScope Steel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BlueScope Steel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BlueScope Steel's future price movements. Getting to know how BlueScope Steel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BlueScope Steel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 5IU | ISOFOL MEDICAL AB | 0 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.62 | (3.99) | 13.66 | |
| DGN | DONGJIANG ENVIRONMENTAL H | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.55 | (4.55) | 39.60 | |
| P75 | Perpetua Medical AB | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.67 | (7.69) | 28.61 | |
| BON | Boiron SA | 0.70 | 1 per month | 1.52 | 0.03 | 2.61 | (2.85) | 9.81 | |
| DPD3 | IMAGIN MEDICAL INC | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RS6 | RELIANCE STEEL AL | 0.40 | 2 per month | 0.80 | 0.18 | 2.77 | (1.43) | 6.46 | |
| 4KH | Khiron Life Sciences | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BH5 | BLUESCOPE STEEL | (0.20) | 4 per month | 1.14 | 0.18 | 3.25 | (2.33) | 20.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for BlueScope Steel
For every potential investor in BlueScope, whether a beginner or expert, BlueScope Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BlueScope Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BlueScope. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BlueScope Steel's price trends.BlueScope Steel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BlueScope Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BlueScope Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlueScope Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BlueScope Steel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BlueScope Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BlueScope Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BlueScope Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BlueScope Steel Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.08 |
BlueScope Steel Risk Indicators
The analysis of BlueScope Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BlueScope Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bluescope stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Variance | 8.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BlueScope Steel
The number of cover stories for BlueScope Steel depends on current market conditions and BlueScope Steel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BlueScope Steel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BlueScope Steel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in BlueScope Stock
BlueScope Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether BlueScope Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BlueScope with respect to the benefits of owning BlueScope Steel security.