BHP Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression
| BHPLF Stock | USD 34.00 3.50 9.33% |
BHP Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BHP Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of BHP Group's share price is at 55 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BHP Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BHP Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BHP Group Limited from the perspective of BHP Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BHP Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.22. BHP Group after-hype prediction price | USD 33.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BHP |
BHP Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BHP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BHP using various technical indicators. When you analyze BHP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BHP Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BHP Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BHP Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BHP Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BHP Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BHP Group | BHP Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BHP Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BHP Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BHP Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.65 and 38.46, respectively. We have considered BHP Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BHP Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BHP Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.586 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9217 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0317 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 56.2246 |
Predictive Modules for BHP Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BHP Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BHP Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BHP Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BHP Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of BHP Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BHP Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BHP Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BHP Group's historical news coverage. BHP Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.69 and 37.49, respectively. We have considered BHP Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BHP Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BHP Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
BHP Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BHP Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BHP Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BHP Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 4.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.00 | 33.09 | 2.68 |
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BHP Group Hype Timeline
BHP Group Limited is currently traded for 34.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BHP is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -2.68%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on BHP Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.00. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of BHP Group was currently reported as 8.88. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BHP Group to cross-verify your projections.BHP Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BHP Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BHP Group's future price movements. Getting to know how BHP Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BHP Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RTNTF | Rio Tinto Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.18 | 5.42 | (2.39) | 11.57 | |
| CHZQ | China Zhong Qi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RTPPF | Rio Tinto Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.20 | 3.18 | (2.38) | 8.47 | |
| ZIJMF | Zijin Mining Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.60 | 0.09 | 6.34 | (4.96) | 15.47 | |
| GMBXF | Grupo Mxico SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.17 | 0.17 | 4.96 | (3.16) | 14.07 | |
| CMCLF | China Molybdenum Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.81 | 0.14 | 8.58 | (6.79) | 25.40 | |
| AIQUF | LAir Liquide SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.89 | (2.57) | 6.30 | |
| AIQUY | Air Liquide SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.47 | (1.44) | 3.81 | |
| FSUMF | Fortescue Metals Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.06 | 3.32 | (2.66) | 8.37 | |
| FSUGY | Fortescue Metals Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.04 | 2.97 | (2.93) | 8.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for BHP Group
For every potential investor in BHP, whether a beginner or expert, BHP Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BHP Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BHP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BHP Group's price trends.BHP Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BHP Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BHP Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BHP Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BHP Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BHP Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BHP Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BHP Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BHP Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BHP Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of BHP Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BHP Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bhp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Variance | 19.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BHP Group
The number of cover stories for BHP Group depends on current market conditions and BHP Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BHP Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BHP Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BHP Pink Sheet
When determining whether BHP Group Limited is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BHP Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bhp Group Limited Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bhp Group Limited Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BHP Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.