Bechtle AG Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BHTLF Stock | 46.95 4.49 8.73% |
Bechtle Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bechtle AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bechtle AG's share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bechtle AG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bechtle AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bechtle AG from the perspective of Bechtle AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bechtle AG on the next trading day is expected to be 46.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.36. Bechtle AG after-hype prediction price | USD 46.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bechtle |
Bechtle AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bechtle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bechtle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bechtle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bechtle AG Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bechtle AG on the next trading day is expected to be 46.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 1.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bechtle Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bechtle AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bechtle AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bechtle AG | Bechtle AG Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bechtle AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bechtle AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bechtle AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.39 and 49.51, respectively. We have considered Bechtle AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bechtle AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bechtle AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0573 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2095 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0042 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.36 |
Predictive Modules for Bechtle AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bechtle AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bechtle AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bechtle AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bechtle AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bechtle AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bechtle AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bechtle AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bechtle AG's historical news coverage. Bechtle AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.41 and 49.49, respectively. We have considered Bechtle AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bechtle AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bechtle AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bechtle AG Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bechtle AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bechtle AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bechtle AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.95 | 46.95 | 0.00 |
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Bechtle AG Hype Timeline
Bechtle AG is currently traded for 46.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bechtle is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bechtle AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.95. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Bechtle AG was currently reported as 11.56. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2022. Bechtle AG had 2:1 split on the 24th of July 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bechtle AG to cross-verify your projections.Bechtle AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bechtle AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bechtle AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Bechtle AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bechtle AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISMAY | Indra Sistemas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.08 | 6.18 | (2.88) | 15.69 | |
| TISNF | TIS Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AEXAY | Atos Origin SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.71 | 0.00 | 37.35 | |
| RPYTF | Reply SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.41 | |
| SEKEF | Seiko Epson | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TMNSF | Temenos AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.04 | |
| TSYHY | TravelSky Technology Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | 0.01 | 4.49 | (3.69) | 10.93 | |
| FITGF | FIT Hon Teng | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.46 | (9.46) | 22.13 | |
| AACAY | AAC Technologies Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.37 | (4.39) | 12.18 | |
| AACAF | AAC Technologies Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bechtle AG
For every potential investor in Bechtle, whether a beginner or expert, Bechtle AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bechtle Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bechtle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bechtle AG's price trends.Bechtle AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bechtle AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bechtle AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bechtle AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bechtle AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bechtle AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bechtle AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bechtle AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bechtle AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.24) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.49) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 33.78 |
Bechtle AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bechtle AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bechtle AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bechtle pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5687 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bechtle AG
The number of cover stories for Bechtle AG depends on current market conditions and Bechtle AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bechtle AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bechtle AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Bechtle Pink Sheet
Bechtle AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bechtle Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bechtle with respect to the benefits of owning Bechtle AG security.