Bioelectronics Corp Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

BIEL Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0001  33.33%   
Bioelectronics Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Bioelectronics Corp's share price is at 52 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bioelectronics Corp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bioelectronics Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bioelectronics Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bioelectronics Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bioelectronics Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bioelectronics Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bioelectronics Corp from the perspective of Bioelectronics Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bioelectronics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000045 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Bioelectronics Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.16E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bioelectronics Corp to cross-verify your projections.

Bioelectronics Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bioelectronics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bioelectronics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bioelectronics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Bioelectronics Corp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Bioelectronics Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bioelectronics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000045, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bioelectronics Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bioelectronics Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bioelectronics Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bioelectronics Corp  Bioelectronics Corp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Bioelectronics Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bioelectronics Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bioelectronics Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 18.67, respectively. We have considered Bioelectronics Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
18.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bioelectronics Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bioelectronics Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.2854
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1345
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0027
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Bioelectronics Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Bioelectronics Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bioelectronics Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bioelectronics Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000418.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000318.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00030.00030.0003
Details

Bioelectronics Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bioelectronics Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bioelectronics Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bioelectronics Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bioelectronics Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bioelectronics Corp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bioelectronics Corp's historical news coverage. Bioelectronics Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 18.67, respectively. We have considered Bioelectronics Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0004
0.0004
After-hype Price
18.67
Upside
Bioelectronics Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bioelectronics Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bioelectronics Corp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bioelectronics Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bioelectronics Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bioelectronics Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.29 
18.67
 0.00  
  0.49 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0004
0.0004
3.88 
0.00  
Notes

Bioelectronics Corp Hype Timeline

Bioelectronics Corp is currently traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.49. Bioelectronics is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.16E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 3.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.29%. The volatility of related hype on Bioelectronics Corp is about 4965.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.49. Bioelectronics Corp currently holds 13.34 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bioelectronics Corp to cross-verify your projections.

Bioelectronics Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bioelectronics Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bioelectronics Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Bioelectronics Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bioelectronics Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMEDElectromedical Technologies 0.00 0 per month 17.32  0.18  100.00 (50.00) 150.00 
BNYNBanyan Corp 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BLFEBioLife Sciences 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EVARFLombard Medical(0.87)11 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PHRXPharmagen 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RMRKRimrock Gold Corp(0.87)3 per month 9.30  0.1  33.33 (25.00) 91.67 
IVIXFInvion Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EMYSFEasy Technologies(0.87)10 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TOMDFTodos Medical(1.15)4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SCRCQScripsAmerica 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Bioelectronics Corp

For every potential investor in Bioelectronics, whether a beginner or expert, Bioelectronics Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bioelectronics Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bioelectronics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bioelectronics Corp's price trends.

Bioelectronics Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bioelectronics Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bioelectronics Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bioelectronics Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bioelectronics Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bioelectronics Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bioelectronics Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bioelectronics Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bioelectronics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bioelectronics Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bioelectronics Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bioelectronics Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bioelectronics pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bioelectronics Corp

The number of cover stories for Bioelectronics Corp depends on current market conditions and Bioelectronics Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bioelectronics Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bioelectronics Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Bioelectronics Pink Sheet

Bioelectronics Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bioelectronics Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bioelectronics with respect to the benefits of owning Bioelectronics Corp security.