Big Lots Pink Sheet Forward View
| BIGGQ Stock | 0.0003 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Big Lots hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Big Lots from the perspective of Big Lots response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Big Lots on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000067 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Big Lots after-hype prediction price | USD 2.37E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Big |
Big Lots Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Big price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Big using various technical indicators. When you analyze Big charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Big Lots Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Big Lots on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000067, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Big Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Big Lots' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Big Lots Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Big Lots Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Big Lots' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Big Lots' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 36.07, respectively. We have considered Big Lots' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Big Lots pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Big Lots pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 99.7012 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0041 |
Predictive Modules for Big Lots
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Big Lots. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Big Lots. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Big Lots' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Big Lots' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Big Lots.Big Lots Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Big Lots at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Big Lots or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Big Lots, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Big Lots Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Big Lots is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Big Lots backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Big Lots, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.58 | 36.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0003 | 0.0002 | 20.92 |
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Big Lots Hype Timeline
Big Lots is currently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Big is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.37E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -20.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 3.58%. The volatility of related hype on Big Lots is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Big Lots Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Big Lots' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Big Lots' future price movements. Getting to know how Big Lots' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Big Lots may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRSHF | Bruush Oral Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 34.75 | 0.27 | 300.00 | (66.67) | 428.33 | |
| FITSF | Koios Beverage Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RRRT | R Three Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| YYYH | China Yanyuan Yuhui | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 700.00 | |
| KRED | Konared | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| RYNL | Reynaldos Mexican Food | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| INBI | Infusion Brands International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UNMK | Tritent International Agriculture | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81,900 | |
| MSAH | Man Shing Agricultural | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.67 | |
| FFRMF | Future Farm Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Big Lots
For every potential investor in Big, whether a beginner or expert, Big Lots' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Big Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Big. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Big Lots' price trends.Big Lots Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Big Lots pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Big Lots could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Big Lots by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Big Lots Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Big Lots pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Big Lots shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Big Lots pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Big Lots entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.05 |
Big Lots Risk Indicators
The analysis of Big Lots' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Big Lots' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting big pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 17.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 16.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 35.14 | |||
| Variance | 1234.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1929.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 276.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (62.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Big Lots
The number of cover stories for Big Lots depends on current market conditions and Big Lots' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Big Lots is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Big Lots' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Big Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Big Lots' price analysis, check to measure Big Lots' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big Lots is operating at the current time. Most of Big Lots' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big Lots' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big Lots' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big Lots to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.