Bill Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BILL Stock | USD 48.45 1.66 3.55% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bill Com Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 48.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.08. Bill Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Bill's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bill's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bill fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Bill's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5418 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2289 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5648 | Wall Street Target Price 61.5909 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.5063 |
Using Bill hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bill Com Holdings from the perspective of Bill response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bill using Bill's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bill using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bill's stock price.
Bill Short Interest
An investor who is long Bill may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bill and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bill with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 47.7298 | Short Percent 0.1833 | Short Ratio 6.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 14 M | 50 Day MA 51.8172 |
Bill Com Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bill's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bill. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bill can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bill Com Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Bill Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Bill's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bill Com Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bill's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bill stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bill's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bill Com Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 48.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.08. Bill after-hype prediction price | USD 48.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bill to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bill contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bill Com Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Bill trading at USD 48.45, that is roughly USD 0.0221 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bill's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bill Com Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Bill Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bill's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bill's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bill stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bill's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bill's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bill is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bill. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bill Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bill Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bill Com Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 48.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 2.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bill Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bill's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bill Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bill | Bill Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bill Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bill's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bill's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.33 and 51.17, respectively. We have considered Bill's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bill stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bill stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1616 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.12 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0221 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.0803 |
Predictive Modules for Bill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bill Com Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bill After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bill at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bill or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bill, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bill Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bill's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bill's historical news coverage. Bill's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.52 and 51.36, respectively. We have considered Bill's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bill is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bill Com Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bill Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bill is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bill backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bill, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.92 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
48.45 | 48.44 | 0.02 |
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Bill Hype Timeline
Bill Com Holdings is currently traded for 48.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Bill is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 48.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Bill is about 768.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.43. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bill Com Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.73. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.18. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bill to cross-verify your projections.Bill Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bill's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bill's future price movements. Getting to know how Bill's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bill may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CWAN | Clearwater Analytics Holdings | (0.26) | 4 per month | 2.02 | 0.12 | 4.31 | (3.95) | 14.20 | |
| BULL | Webull Corp | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.58 | (5.86) | 12.33 | |
| DGNX | Diginex Limited Ordinary | 0.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 15.63 | (21.43) | 58.12 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | (0.50) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.27 | (8.72) | 33.02 | |
| WK | Workiva | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.07 | (3.07) | 10.41 | |
| BTDR | Bitdeer Technologies Group | 0.17 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.05 | (9.51) | 27.30 | |
| CALX | Calix Inc | 0.65 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.63 | (4.18) | 14.05 | |
| OS | OneStream Class A | (0.03) | 9 per month | 2.57 | 0.1 | 6.39 | (4.81) | 29.57 | |
| FROG | Jfrog | (2.39) | 11 per month | 2.41 | 0.07 | 6.25 | (4.10) | 31.58 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | (1.72) | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0 | 3.31 | (2.82) | 8.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bill
For every potential investor in Bill, whether a beginner or expert, Bill's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bill Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bill's price trends.Bill Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bill stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bill could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bill by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bill Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bill stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bill shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bill stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bill Com Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bill Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bill's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bill's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Variance | 8.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bill
The number of cover stories for Bill depends on current market conditions and Bill's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bill is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bill's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bill Short Properties
Bill's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bill's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bill Com Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 103.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bill to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bill. If investors know Bill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Bill Com Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.