Baird Intermediate Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression

BIMSX Fund  USD 11.13  0.03  0.27%   
Baird Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Baird Intermediate's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Baird Intermediate, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Baird Intermediate's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baird Intermediate Bond, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Baird Intermediate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baird Intermediate Bond from the perspective of Baird Intermediate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Baird Intermediate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 11.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.

Baird Intermediate after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baird Intermediate to cross-verify your projections.

Baird Intermediate Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baird price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baird using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baird charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Baird Intermediate price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Baird Intermediate Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Baird Intermediate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 11.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baird Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baird Intermediate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baird Intermediate Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Baird Intermediate  Baird Intermediate Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Baird Intermediate Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baird Intermediate's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baird Intermediate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.05 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered Baird Intermediate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.13
11.17
Expected Value
11.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baird Intermediate mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baird Intermediate mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1007
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0151
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0014
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9217
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Baird Intermediate Bond historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Baird Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird Intermediate Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baird Intermediate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0111.1311.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0111.1311.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1311.1511.18
Details

Baird Intermediate After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Baird Intermediate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baird Intermediate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Baird Intermediate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Baird Intermediate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Baird Intermediate's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baird Intermediate's historical news coverage. Baird Intermediate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.01 and 11.25, respectively. We have considered Baird Intermediate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.13
11.13
After-hype Price
11.25
Upside
Baird Intermediate is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baird Intermediate Bond is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baird Intermediate Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Baird Intermediate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baird Intermediate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baird Intermediate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.12
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.13
11.13
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Baird Intermediate Hype Timeline

Baird Intermediate Bond is currently traded for 11.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Baird is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baird Intermediate is about 750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.13. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baird Intermediate to cross-verify your projections.

Baird Intermediate Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Baird Intermediate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baird Intermediate's future price movements. Getting to know how Baird Intermediate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baird Intermediate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BSBSXBaird Short Term Bond 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.63) 0.11 (0.11) 0.52 
BUBSXBaird Ultra Short 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.92) 0.10  0.00  0.39 
STYAXWells Fargo Income 0.00 0 per month 0.11 (0.33) 0.27 (0.27) 0.62 
MFAEXAmerican Funds Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 0.10 (0.32) 0.23 (0.22) 0.67 
NHMRXNuveen High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.15 (0.35) 0.21 (0.14) 1.19 
NHMFXNuveen High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.15 (0.37) 0.21 (0.21) 1.05 
RCWAXCapital World Bond 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.43 (0.25) 0.79 
PRAFXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.47  0.31  1.42 (1.18) 3.12 
GETGXVictory Sycamore Established 0.00 0 per month 0.29  0.18  1.69 (1.00) 4.59 
FTHNXFuller Thaler Behavioral 0.16 1 per month 0.74  0.01  1.76 (1.31) 3.68 

Other Forecasting Options for Baird Intermediate

For every potential investor in Baird, whether a beginner or expert, Baird Intermediate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baird Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baird. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baird Intermediate's price trends.

Baird Intermediate Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baird Intermediate mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baird Intermediate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baird Intermediate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baird Intermediate Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baird Intermediate mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baird Intermediate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baird Intermediate mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Baird Intermediate Bond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baird Intermediate Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baird Intermediate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baird Intermediate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baird mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Baird Intermediate

The number of cover stories for Baird Intermediate depends on current market conditions and Baird Intermediate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baird Intermediate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baird Intermediate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund

Baird Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Intermediate security.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.