Biosergen Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BIOSGN Stock   38.95  0.05  0.13%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biosergen AS on the next trading day is expected to be 39.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.71. Biosergen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Biosergen stock prices and determine the direction of Biosergen AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Biosergen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Biosergen's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Biosergen's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biosergen AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Biosergen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biosergen AS from the perspective of Biosergen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biosergen AS on the next trading day is expected to be 39.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.71.

Biosergen after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 38.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biosergen to cross-verify your projections.

Biosergen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Biosergen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biosergen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biosergen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Biosergen is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Biosergen AS value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Biosergen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biosergen AS on the next trading day is expected to be 39.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biosergen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biosergen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Biosergen Stock Forecast Pattern

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Biosergen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Biosergen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Biosergen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.53 and 43.34, respectively. We have considered Biosergen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.95
39.43
Expected Value
43.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biosergen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biosergen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7323
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1888
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0256
SAESum of the absolute errors73.7069
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Biosergen AS. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Biosergen. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Biosergen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biosergen AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.0638.9542.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.2735.1639.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Biosergen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Biosergen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Biosergen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Biosergen AS.

Other Forecasting Options for Biosergen

For every potential investor in Biosergen, whether a beginner or expert, Biosergen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Biosergen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Biosergen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Biosergen's price trends.

Biosergen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biosergen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biosergen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biosergen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Biosergen AS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Biosergen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Biosergen's current price.

Biosergen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biosergen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biosergen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biosergen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Biosergen AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Biosergen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Biosergen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biosergen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biosergen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Biosergen Stock

Biosergen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Biosergen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Biosergen with respect to the benefits of owning Biosergen security.