Safeplus International Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

BIPH Stock  USD 16.70  0.11  0.65%   
Safeplus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Safeplus International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Safeplus International's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Safeplus International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Safeplus International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Safeplus International Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Safeplus International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.171
Using Safeplus International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Safeplus International Holdings from the perspective of Safeplus International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Safeplus International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.07.

Safeplus International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Safeplus International to cross-verify your projections.

Safeplus International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Safeplus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Safeplus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Safeplus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Safeplus International is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Safeplus International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Safeplus International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Safeplus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Safeplus International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Safeplus International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Safeplus International  Safeplus International Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Safeplus International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Safeplus International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Safeplus International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.03 and 17.37, respectively. We have considered Safeplus International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.70
16.70
Expected Value
17.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Safeplus International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Safeplus International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1021
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.001
MADMean absolute deviation0.0859
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors5.07
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Safeplus International Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Safeplus International. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Safeplus International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safeplus International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0316.7017.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9816.6517.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.4116.6616.91
Details

Safeplus International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Safeplus International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Safeplus International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Safeplus International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Safeplus International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Safeplus International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Safeplus International's historical news coverage. Safeplus International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.03 and 17.37, respectively. We have considered Safeplus International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.70
16.70
After-hype Price
17.37
Upside
Safeplus International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Safeplus International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Safeplus International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Safeplus International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Safeplus International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Safeplus International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.67
 0.00  
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.70
16.70
0.00 
670.00  
Notes

Safeplus International Hype Timeline

Safeplus International is currently traded for 16.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Safeplus is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Safeplus International is about 86.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.69. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Safeplus International recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The firm had 1:100 split on the 10th of September 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Safeplus International to cross-verify your projections.

Safeplus International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Safeplus International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Safeplus International's future price movements. Getting to know how Safeplus International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Safeplus International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PFSIPennyMac Finl Svcs(2.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.26 (2.09) 11.99 
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies(5.06)9 per month 2.17 (0.03) 3.02 (3.13) 9.28 
VOYAVoya Financial(0.36)10 per month 1.44  0.03  2.25 (1.78) 8.14 
MKTXMarketAxess Holdings 0.37 9 per month 1.57 (0.01) 2.52 (2.77) 9.15 
WULFTerawulf(0.03)12 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.37 (9.48) 24.71 
MGREAffiliated Managers Group(0.09)6 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.77 (0.79) 1.99 
PBProsperity Bancshares(0.27)8 per month 1.68  0.05  2.92 (1.37) 11.82 
CGCarlyle Group(1.02)7 per month 2.18  0.02  3.24 (3.04) 11.01 
FAFFirst American 1.54 9 per month 1.37 (0) 2.55 (2.37) 5.88 

Other Forecasting Options for Safeplus International

For every potential investor in Safeplus, whether a beginner or expert, Safeplus International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Safeplus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Safeplus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Safeplus International's price trends.

Safeplus International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Safeplus International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Safeplus International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safeplus International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Safeplus International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Safeplus International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Safeplus International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Safeplus International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Safeplus International Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Safeplus International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Safeplus International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Safeplus International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting safeplus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Safeplus International

The number of cover stories for Safeplus International depends on current market conditions and Safeplus International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Safeplus International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Safeplus International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Safeplus International Short Properties

Safeplus International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Safeplus International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Safeplus International Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Safeplus International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safeplus International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding461.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
When determining whether Safeplus International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Safeplus International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Safeplus International Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Safeplus International Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Safeplus International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is there potential for Health Care Equipment & Supplies market expansion? Will Safeplus introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safeplus International. Projected growth potential of Safeplus fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Safeplus International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.09)
Revenue Per Share
0.004
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.171
Return On Assets
(0.15)
The market value of Safeplus International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Safeplus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Safeplus International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Safeplus International's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Safeplus International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Safeplus International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Safeplus International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Safeplus International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Safeplus International's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.