Baltic International Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BISA Stock | USD 0.0003 0.00 0.00% |
Baltic Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Baltic International stock prices and determine the direction of Baltic International USA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Baltic International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Baltic International's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 2
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Baltic International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baltic International USA from the perspective of Baltic International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Baltic International USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Baltic International after-hype prediction price | USD 1.99E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Baltic |
Baltic International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Baltic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baltic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baltic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Baltic International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Baltic International USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000022, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baltic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baltic International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Baltic International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Baltic International | Baltic International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Baltic International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Baltic International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baltic International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 15.13, respectively. We have considered Baltic International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baltic International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baltic International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1836 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0059 |
Predictive Modules for Baltic International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baltic International USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baltic International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Baltic International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Baltic International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baltic International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Baltic International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Baltic International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Baltic International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baltic International's historical news coverage. Baltic International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 15.01, respectively. We have considered Baltic International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Baltic International is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baltic International USA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Baltic International Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baltic International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baltic International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baltic International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.99 | 15.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0003 | 0.0002 | 33.78 |
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Baltic International Hype Timeline
Baltic International USA is currently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Baltic is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.99E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -33.78%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.99%. The volatility of related hype on Baltic International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Baltic International USA had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baltic International to cross-verify your projections.Baltic International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Baltic International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baltic International's future price movements. Getting to know how Baltic International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baltic International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGSI | CGS International | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| INNX | Infinite Networks | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | |
| OCLG | Oncologix Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PLKT | Solar Gold | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHYL | China Senior Living | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119,975 | |
| TKCI | TurnKey Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 61.11 | (44.00) | 167.95 | |
| IGSC | IGS Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IFAN | IFAN Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| BFYW | Sauer Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Baltic International
For every potential investor in Baltic, whether a beginner or expert, Baltic International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baltic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baltic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baltic International's price trends.Baltic International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baltic International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baltic International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baltic International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Baltic International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baltic International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baltic International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baltic International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Baltic International USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 2.51 |
Baltic International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Baltic International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baltic International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baltic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.67 | |||
| Variance | 215.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Baltic International
The number of cover stories for Baltic International depends on current market conditions and Baltic International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baltic International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baltic International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Baltic International Short Properties
Baltic International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Baltic International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Baltic International USA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Baltic International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baltic International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 69.5 K | |
| Shares Float | 8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Baltic Pink Sheet
Baltic International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baltic Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baltic with respect to the benefits of owning Baltic International security.