Beijing Gas Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BJGBF Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beijing Gas Blue on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0009 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. Beijing Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing Gas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Beijing Gas - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Beijing Gas prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Beijing Gas price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Beijing Gas Blue.

Beijing Gas Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beijing Gas Blue on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0009, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000023, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing Gas Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Beijing Gas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beijing Gas' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beijing Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000041 and 80.51, respectively. We have considered Beijing Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000041
Downside
0
Expected Value
80.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing Gas pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing Gas pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1217
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0518
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Beijing Gas observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Beijing Gas Blue observations.

Predictive Modules for Beijing Gas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Gas Blue. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00050.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.010.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Gas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Gas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Gas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Gas Blue.

Other Forecasting Options for Beijing Gas

For every potential investor in Beijing, whether a beginner or expert, Beijing Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beijing Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beijing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beijing Gas' price trends.

Beijing Gas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing Gas pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing Gas Blue Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beijing Gas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beijing Gas' current price.

Beijing Gas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing Gas pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing Gas pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing Gas Blue entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing Gas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Pink Sheet

Beijing Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Gas security.