BJs Restaurants Stock Forward View

BJRI Stock  USD 42.97  1.15  2.75%   
BJs Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of BJs Restaurants' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength indicator of BJs Restaurants' share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BJs Restaurants, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BJs Restaurants' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BJs Restaurants, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BJs Restaurants' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.347
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5581
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.2274
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.3777
Wall Street Target Price
44
Using BJs Restaurants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BJs Restaurants from the perspective of BJs Restaurants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BJs Restaurants using BJs Restaurants' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BJs using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BJs Restaurants' stock price.

BJs Restaurants Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in BJs Restaurants' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BJs. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BJs Restaurants stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
37.7214
Short Percent
0.133
Short Ratio
3.92
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
40.48

BJs Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BJs Restaurants on the next trading day is expected to be 40.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.06.

BJs Restaurants Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to BJs Restaurants' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BJs. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BJs can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BJs Restaurants. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BJs Restaurants' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BJs Restaurants.

BJs Restaurants Implied Volatility

    
  0.58  
BJs Restaurants' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BJs Restaurants stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BJs Restaurants' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BJs Restaurants stock will not fluctuate a lot when BJs Restaurants' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BJs Restaurants on the next trading day is expected to be 40.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.06.

BJs Restaurants after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Restaurants to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BJs Stock please use our How to Invest in BJs Restaurants guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BJs contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BJs Restaurants will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With BJs Restaurants trading at USD 42.97, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BJs Restaurants' daily price movement you should consider acquiring BJs Restaurants options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 BJs Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BJs Restaurants' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BJs Restaurants' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BJs Restaurants stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BJs Restaurants' open interest, investors have to compare it to BJs Restaurants' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BJs Restaurants is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BJs. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

BJs Restaurants Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

BJs Restaurants Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the BJs Restaurants' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1996-06-30
Previous Quarter
26 M
Current Value
25.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
18.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for BJs Restaurants is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BJs Restaurants value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BJs Restaurants Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BJs Restaurants on the next trading day is expected to be 40.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BJs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BJs Restaurants' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BJs Restaurants Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BJs Restaurants  BJs Restaurants Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

BJs Restaurants Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BJs Restaurants' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BJs Restaurants' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.73 and 43.11, respectively. We have considered BJs Restaurants' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.97
40.92
Expected Value
43.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BJs Restaurants stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BJs Restaurants stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3082
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9026
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0227
SAESum of the absolute errors55.0607
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BJs Restaurants. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BJs Restaurants. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BJs Restaurants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BJs Restaurants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.8743.0645.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6746.3948.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.5442.9046.26
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.0444.0048.84
Details

BJs Restaurants After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BJs Restaurants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BJs Restaurants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BJs Restaurants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BJs Restaurants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BJs Restaurants' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BJs Restaurants' historical news coverage. BJs Restaurants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.87 and 45.25, respectively. We have considered BJs Restaurants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.97
43.06
After-hype Price
45.25
Upside
BJs Restaurants is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BJs Restaurants is based on 3 months time horizon.

BJs Restaurants Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Restaurants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Restaurants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Restaurants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.19
  0.09 
  0.07 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.97
43.06
0.21 
811.11  
Notes

BJs Restaurants Hype Timeline

BJs Restaurants is currently traded for 42.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. BJs is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on BJs Restaurants is about 938.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.04. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.36 B. Net Income was 16.69 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 211.92 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Restaurants to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BJs Stock please use our How to Invest in BJs Restaurants guide.

BJs Restaurants Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BJs Restaurants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BJs Restaurants' future price movements. Getting to know how BJs Restaurants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BJs Restaurants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HVIIHennessy Capital Investment(0.04)6 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.48 (0.77) 2.79 
KODKodiak Sciences(0.13)8 per month 4.44  0.08  10.04 (6.94) 25.07 
KNOWDirexion All Cap 0.06 8 per month 0.42  0.06  0.93 (0.91) 1.94 
BCTXBriacell Therapeutics Corp(0.80)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 13.96 (9.09) 98.43 
CPNFFEuro Sun Mining 4.66 19 per month 3.72  0.15  13.04 (7.69) 32.50 
SMTCSemtech(1.18)11 per month 2.97  0.1  6.56 (5.16) 18.27 
BGRFXBaron Growth Fund(0.47)1 per month 0.72  0.08  1.99 (1.67) 26.89 
RQHTFReliq Health Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SUNWQSunworks 0.00 6 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for BJs Restaurants

For every potential investor in BJs, whether a beginner or expert, BJs Restaurants' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BJs Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BJs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BJs Restaurants' price trends.

BJs Restaurants Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BJs Restaurants stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BJs Restaurants could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BJs Restaurants by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BJs Restaurants Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BJs Restaurants stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BJs Restaurants shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BJs Restaurants stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BJs Restaurants entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BJs Restaurants Risk Indicators

The analysis of BJs Restaurants' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BJs Restaurants' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bjs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for BJs Restaurants

The number of cover stories for BJs Restaurants depends on current market conditions and BJs Restaurants' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BJs Restaurants is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BJs Restaurants' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BJs Restaurants Short Properties

BJs Restaurants' future price predictability will typically decrease when BJs Restaurants' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BJs Restaurants often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BJs Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BJs Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.1 M
When determining whether BJs Restaurants offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BJs Restaurants' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bjs Restaurants Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bjs Restaurants Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Restaurants to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BJs Stock please use our How to Invest in BJs Restaurants guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is there potential for Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure market expansion? Will BJs introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BJs Restaurants. Projected growth potential of BJs fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about BJs Restaurants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.347
Earnings Share
1.36
Revenue Per Share
61.978
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
Return On Assets
0.0302
Understanding BJs Restaurants requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects BJs's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what BJs Restaurants' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push BJs Restaurants' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BJs Restaurants' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BJs Restaurants should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, BJs Restaurants' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.