Bank of East Asia Limited Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BKEAF Stock  USD 1.65  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30. Bank Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of East Asia Limited's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Bank of East Asia Limited works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Bank of East Asia Limited Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of East Asia Limited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank of East Asia Limited Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Bank of East Asia Limited Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank of East Asia Limited's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of East Asia Limited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.67 and 2.63, respectively. We have considered Bank of East Asia Limited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.65
1.65
Expected Value
2.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of East Asia Limited pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of East Asia Limited pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0033
MADMean absolute deviation0.0052
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0032
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3045
When The Bank of prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any The Bank of trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Bank of East Asia Limited observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bank of East Asia Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of East Asia Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.681.652.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.331.302.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of East Asia Limited. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of East Asia Limited's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of East Asia Limited's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of East Asia Limited.

Other Forecasting Options for Bank of East Asia Limited

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of East Asia Limited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of East Asia Limited's price trends.

Bank of East Asia Limited Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of East Asia Limited pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of East Asia Limited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of East Asia Limited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank of East Asia Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank of East Asia Limited's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank of East Asia Limited's current price.

Bank of East Asia Limited Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of East Asia Limited pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of East Asia Limited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of East Asia Limited pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Bank of entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank of East Asia Limited Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank of East Asia Limited's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of East Asia Limited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bank Pink Sheet

When determining whether Bank of East Asia Limited is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Bank Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about The Bank Of Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about The Bank Of Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of East Asia Limited to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of East Asia Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of East Asia Limited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of East Asia Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.