Bank Hapoalim Pink Sheet Forward View

BKHYY Stock  USD 125.94  2.45  1.98%   
Bank Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank Hapoalim's pink sheet price is slightly above 61 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank Hapoalim's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank Hapoalim ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bank Hapoalim hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Hapoalim ADR from the perspective of Bank Hapoalim response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank Hapoalim ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 125.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.44.

Bank Hapoalim after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 126.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Hapoalim to cross-verify your projections.

Bank Hapoalim Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Bank Hapoalim is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bank Hapoalim ADR value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bank Hapoalim Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank Hapoalim ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 125.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96, mean absolute percentage error of 6.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank Hapoalim's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank Hapoalim Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bank Hapoalim  Bank Hapoalim Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Bank Hapoalim Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank Hapoalim's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank Hapoalim's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.34 and 127.33, respectively. We have considered Bank Hapoalim's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.94
123.34
Downside
125.33
Expected Value
127.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank Hapoalim pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank Hapoalim pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9462
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.958
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0173
SAESum of the absolute errors119.4403
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bank Hapoalim ADR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bank Hapoalim. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bank Hapoalim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Hapoalim ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Hapoalim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.10126.10128.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.35141.28143.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
113.86121.62129.37
Details

Bank Hapoalim After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank Hapoalim at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Hapoalim or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bank Hapoalim, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank Hapoalim Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank Hapoalim's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Hapoalim's historical news coverage. Bank Hapoalim's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 124.10 and 128.10, respectively. We have considered Bank Hapoalim's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
125.94
124.10
Downside
126.10
After-hype Price
128.10
Upside
Bank Hapoalim is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Hapoalim ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank Hapoalim Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Hapoalim is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Hapoalim backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Hapoalim, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
2.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
125.94
126.10
0.13 
0.00  
Notes

Bank Hapoalim Hype Timeline

Bank Hapoalim ADR is currently traded for 125.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 126.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Bank Hapoalim is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 125.94. The company reported the revenue of 14.3 B. Net Income was 4.9 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.61 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Hapoalim to cross-verify your projections.

Bank Hapoalim Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Hapoalim's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Hapoalim's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Hapoalim's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Hapoalim may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MLYBYMalayan Banking Berhad 0.00 0 per month 4.32  0.1  8.85 (8.12) 25.87 
PSZKFPowszechna Kasa Oszczednosci 0.00 0 per month 2.22  0.12  6.80 (5.52) 20.34 
BLMIFBank Leumi le  0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  3.03 (1.13) 13.71 
CEBCFChina Everbright Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  2.27  0.00  31.58 
JPPHYJapan Post Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  4.78 (2.95) 16.94 
PSZKYPowszechna Kasa Oszczednosci 0.00 0 per month 3.43  0.11  6.88 (5.62) 21.44 
PPERYBank Mandiri Persero 0.00 0 per month 1.67  0.04  3.13 (2.75) 10.18 
GBOOYGrupo Financiero Banorte 0.00 0 per month 1.56  0.14  3.51 (2.80) 14.46 
SBGOFStandard Bank Group 0.00 0 per month 5.72  0.06  14.64 (13.14) 39.97 
GBOOFGrupo Financiero Banorte 0.00 0 per month 2.37  0.13  5.93 (4.29) 13.21 

Other Forecasting Options for Bank Hapoalim

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank Hapoalim's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank Hapoalim's price trends.

Bank Hapoalim Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank Hapoalim pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank Hapoalim could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank Hapoalim by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank Hapoalim Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank Hapoalim pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank Hapoalim shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank Hapoalim pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank Hapoalim ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank Hapoalim Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank Hapoalim's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank Hapoalim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bank Hapoalim

The number of cover stories for Bank Hapoalim depends on current market conditions and Bank Hapoalim's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Hapoalim is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Hapoalim's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bank Hapoalim Short Properties

Bank Hapoalim's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Hapoalim's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Hapoalim ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Hapoalim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Hapoalim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding267.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments189.3 B

Additional Tools for Bank Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Bank Hapoalim's price analysis, check to measure Bank Hapoalim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Hapoalim is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Hapoalim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Hapoalim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Hapoalim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Hapoalim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.