Black Rock Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BKT Stock   0.05  0  2.13%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Black Rock Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Black Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Black Rock's Non Current Assets Total are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Cash And Short Term Investments is likely to gain to about 9.6 M in 2024, despite the fact that Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (63.3 M).
A naive forecasting model for Black Rock is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Black Rock Mining value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Black Rock Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Black Rock Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000294, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Black Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Black Rock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Black Rock Stock Forecast Pattern

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Black Rock Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Black Rock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Black Rock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 2.91, respectively. We have considered Black Rock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.05
0.0005
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
2.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Black Rock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Black Rock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.3721
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0014
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0277
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0854
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Black Rock Mining. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Black Rock. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Black Rock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Black Rock Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.052.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.042.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0025-0.00250.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Black Rock

For every potential investor in Black, whether a beginner or expert, Black Rock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Black Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Black. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Black Rock's price trends.

Black Rock Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Black Rock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Black Rock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Black Rock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Black Rock Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Black Rock's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Black Rock's current price.

Black Rock Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Black Rock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Black Rock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Black Rock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Black Rock Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Black Rock Risk Indicators

The analysis of Black Rock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Black Rock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting black stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Black Stock Analysis

When running Black Rock's price analysis, check to measure Black Rock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Black Rock is operating at the current time. Most of Black Rock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Black Rock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Black Rock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Black Rock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.