BK Technologies Stock Forward View

BKTI Stock  USD 76.28  2.74  3.47%   
BKTI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BK Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of BK Technologies' share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BK Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BK Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BK Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BK Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BK Technologies from the perspective of BK Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BK Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 73.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.52.

BK Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 76.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BK Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BKTI Stock please use our How to Invest in BK Technologies guide.

BK Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BKTI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BKTI using various technical indicators. When you analyze BKTI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for BK Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BK Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BK Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BK Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 73.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.70, mean absolute percentage error of 9.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BKTI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BK Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BK Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BK Technologies  BK Technologies Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

BK Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BK Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BK Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.50 and 76.68, respectively. We have considered BK Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
76.28
73.09
Expected Value
76.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BK Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BK Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4093
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6971
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0361
SAESum of the absolute errors164.5231
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BK Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BK Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BK Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BK Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BK Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.6976.2879.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.9563.5483.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
71.1680.0989.02
Details

BK Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BK Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BK Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BK Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BK Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BK Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BK Technologies' historical news coverage. BK Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.69 and 79.87, respectively. We have considered BK Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.28
76.28
After-hype Price
79.87
Upside
BK Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BK Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

BK Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BK Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BK Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BK Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
3.59
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.28
76.28
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BK Technologies Hype Timeline

BK Technologies is currently traded for 76.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. BKTI is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on BK Technologies is about 1768.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.30. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.18. BK Technologies last dividend was issued on the 24th of October 2022. The entity had 1:5 split on the 24th of April 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BK Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BKTI Stock please use our How to Invest in BK Technologies guide.

BK Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BK Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BK Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how BK Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BK Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AUDCAudioCodes 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.50 (3.42) 10.20 
CRNTCeragon Networks 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.90 (4.37) 9.62 
INSGInseego Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.00 (6.03) 15.39 
FEIMFrequency Electronics 1.90 8 per month 3.45  0.12  7.82 (5.47) 34.92 
AVNWAviat Networks 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.79 (3.99) 10.88 
TRAKReposiTrak 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.07 (4.38) 9.78 
PAYSPaysign 0.13 4 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.16 (3.84) 12.59 
IIIInformation Services Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.22 (3.46) 10.46 
GSITGSI Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.57 (10.03) 37.87 
OCFTOneconnect Financial Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for BK Technologies

For every potential investor in BKTI, whether a beginner or expert, BK Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BKTI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BKTI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BK Technologies' price trends.

BK Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BK Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BK Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BK Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BK Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BK Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BK Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BK Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BK Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BK Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of BK Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BK Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bkti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for BK Technologies

The number of cover stories for BK Technologies depends on current market conditions and BK Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BK Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BK Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BK Technologies Short Properties

BK Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when BK Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BK Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BK Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BK Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.1 M
When determining whether BK Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BK Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bk Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bk Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BK Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BKTI Stock please use our How to Invest in BK Technologies guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is there potential for Communications Equipment market expansion? Will BKTI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BK Technologies. Projected growth potential of BKTI fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about BK Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of BK Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BKTI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BK Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BK Technologies' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because BK Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BK Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between BK Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BK Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, BK Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.