Ballard Power Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| BLDP Stock | USD 4.33 1.04 31.61% |
Ballard Power Systems's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Ballard Power at 3.83 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Ballard Power at 3.83 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and sum of absolute errors of 7.75 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Ballard Power's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ballard Power | Ballard Power Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Ballard Power's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The forecast band spans 0.04 to 9.66. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Ballard Power stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.7368 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0835 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.136 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0467 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.7525 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ballard Power
Bollinger Bands applied to Ballard Power Stock price data measure how far Ballard Power has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Ballard Power's price data. On-balance volume for Ballard Power Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Ballard Power. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Ballard Power's.Ballard Power Related Equities
These stocks within the Industrials space are often compared to Ballard Power by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Ballard Power's peer group. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to Ballard Power often signals structural advantages or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ballard Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Ballard Power quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Ballard Power. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Ballard Power through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
Ballard Power Risk Indicators
Analyzing Ballard Power's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Ballard Power helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Ballard Power's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
| Mean Deviation | 4.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.83 | |||
| Variance | 33.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -5.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Ballard Power Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Ballard Power reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 302.99 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 530.29 million |
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