Blue Foundry Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BLFY Stock | USD 14.53 0.31 2.18% |
Blue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Blue Foundry's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Blue Foundry hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Foundry Bancorp from the perspective of Blue Foundry response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Blue Foundry Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32. Blue Foundry after-hype prediction price | USD 14.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Foundry to cross-verify your projections. Blue Foundry Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blue Foundry Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Blue Foundry Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Foundry's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blue Foundry Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blue Foundry | Blue Foundry Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Blue Foundry Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blue Foundry's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Foundry's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.00 and 19.75, respectively. We have considered Blue Foundry's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Foundry stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Foundry stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2561 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1601 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2765 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.315 |
Predictive Modules for Blue Foundry
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Foundry Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Blue Foundry After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blue Foundry at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blue Foundry or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blue Foundry, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blue Foundry Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blue Foundry's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blue Foundry's historical news coverage. Blue Foundry's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.90 and 19.74, respectively. We have considered Blue Foundry's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blue Foundry is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Foundry Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blue Foundry Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blue Foundry is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Foundry backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blue Foundry, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 5.37 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.53 | 14.32 | 1.27 |
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Blue Foundry Hype Timeline
Blue Foundry Bancorp is currently traded for 14.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Blue is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.08%. The volatility of related hype on Blue Foundry is about 16272.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.57. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 87.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.73 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Foundry to cross-verify your projections.Blue Foundry Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blue Foundry's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blue Foundry's future price movements. Getting to know how Blue Foundry's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blue Foundry may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INBK | First Internet Bancorp | (0.07) | 8 per month | 2.16 | 0.08 | 5.41 | (4.39) | 15.47 | |
| AVBH | Avidbank Holdings Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | 0.17 | 2.67 | (1.44) | 6.29 | |
| NKSH | National Bankshares | 0.97 | 6 per month | 0.72 | 0.24 | 4.17 | (1.55) | 6.72 | |
| EFSI | Eagle Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.05 | 2.35 | (1.51) | 5.82 | |
| FXNC | First National Corp | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.64 | 0.20 | 2.91 | (1.48) | 6.84 | |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.03 | 3.38 | (3.25) | 11.38 | |
| MNSB | Mainstreet Bank | 0.47 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.14 | 3.35 | (2.46) | 8.15 | |
| FRAF | Franklin Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.48 | (0.01) | 3.20 | (3.34) | 15.30 | |
| FBLA | FB Bancorp Common | (0.76) | 20 per month | 0.51 | 0.11 | 2.23 | (1.18) | 4.10 | |
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares | (0.39) | 9 per month | 2.11 | 0.05 | 4.15 | (4.01) | 12.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blue Foundry
For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Foundry's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Foundry's price trends.Blue Foundry Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Foundry stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Foundry could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Foundry by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blue Foundry Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Foundry stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Foundry shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Foundry stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Foundry Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5636.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.62 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.34 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.31 |
Blue Foundry Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blue Foundry's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Foundry's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7248 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.37 | |||
| Variance | 28.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5253 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blue Foundry
The number of cover stories for Blue Foundry depends on current market conditions and Blue Foundry's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Foundry is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Foundry's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Blue Foundry Short Properties
Blue Foundry's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blue Foundry's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blue Foundry Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blue Foundry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Foundry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 339.5 M |
Additional Tools for Blue Stock Analysis
When running Blue Foundry's price analysis, check to measure Blue Foundry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Foundry is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Foundry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Foundry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Foundry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Foundry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.