BlackRock Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BLK Stock  USD 1,120  34.70  3.20%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BlackRock on the next trading day is expected to be 1,120 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 715.62. BlackRock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although BlackRock's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BlackRock's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BlackRock fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of BlackRock's share price is above 70 as of now suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling BlackRock, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 79

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BlackRock's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BlackRock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BlackRock's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
12.7136
EPS Estimate Current Year
47.6724
EPS Estimate Next Year
53.7312
Wall Street Target Price
1.3 K
Using BlackRock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlackRock from the perspective of BlackRock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BlackRock using BlackRock's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BlackRock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BlackRock's stock price.

BlackRock Short Interest

An investor who is long BlackRock may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BlackRock and may potentially protect profits, hedge BlackRock with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
K
Short Percent
0.0083
Short Ratio
1.83
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
1.1 K

BlackRock Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to BlackRock's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BlackRock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BlackRock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BlackRock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BlackRock's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BlackRock.

BlackRock Implied Volatility

    
  0.42  
BlackRock's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BlackRock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BlackRock's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BlackRock stock will not fluctuate a lot when BlackRock's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BlackRock on the next trading day is expected to be 1,120 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 715.62.

BlackRock after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1084.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy BlackRock Stock please use our How to buy in BlackRock Stock guide.At this time, BlackRock's Fixed Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.31 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 4.18. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 7.7 B this year, although the value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding will most likely fall to about 142 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 BlackRock Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BlackRock's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BlackRock's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BlackRock stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BlackRock's open interest, investors have to compare it to BlackRock's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BlackRock is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BlackRock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

BlackRock Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BlackRock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlackRock using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlackRock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
BlackRock simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for BlackRock are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as BlackRock prices get older.

BlackRock Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BlackRock on the next trading day is expected to be 1,120 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.93, mean absolute percentage error of 260.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 715.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BlackRock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BlackRock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BlackRock Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BlackRockBlackRock Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BlackRock Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BlackRock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BlackRock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,118 and 1,121, respectively. We have considered BlackRock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,120
1,120
Expected Value
1,121
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BlackRock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BlackRock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8349
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7003
MADMean absolute deviation11.927
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors715.62
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting BlackRock forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent BlackRock observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for BlackRock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0831,0851,086
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
976.551,2041,205
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,0851,0851,085
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1,2011,3191,464
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BlackRock

For every potential investor in BlackRock, whether a beginner or expert, BlackRock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BlackRock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BlackRock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BlackRock's price trends.

BlackRock Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BlackRock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BlackRock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BlackRock Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BlackRock's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BlackRock's current price.

BlackRock Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BlackRock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BlackRock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BlackRock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BlackRock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BlackRock Risk Indicators

The analysis of BlackRock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BlackRock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether BlackRock is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BlackRock Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Blackrock Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Blackrock Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy BlackRock Stock please use our How to buy in BlackRock Stock guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
20.73
Earnings Share
38.85
Revenue Per Share
147.688
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.252
The market value of BlackRock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.