Nicholas Crypto Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BLOX Etf | 15.85 0.41 2.66% |
Nicholas Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Nicholas Crypto's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nicholas Crypto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nicholas Crypto Income from the perspective of Nicholas Crypto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nicholas Crypto Income on the next trading day is expected to be 15.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.56. Nicholas Crypto after-hype prediction price | USD 15.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nicholas | Build AI portfolio with Nicholas Etf |
Nicholas Crypto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nicholas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nicholas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nicholas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nicholas Crypto Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nicholas Crypto Income on the next trading day is expected to be 15.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nicholas Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nicholas Crypto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nicholas Crypto Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nicholas Crypto | Nicholas Crypto Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nicholas Crypto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nicholas Crypto's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nicholas Crypto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.61 and 20.09, respectively. We have considered Nicholas Crypto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nicholas Crypto etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nicholas Crypto etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4315 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0721 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5502 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0317 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.56 |
Predictive Modules for Nicholas Crypto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nicholas Crypto Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nicholas Crypto After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nicholas Crypto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nicholas Crypto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Nicholas Crypto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nicholas Crypto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nicholas Crypto's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nicholas Crypto's historical news coverage. Nicholas Crypto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.76 and 20.18, respectively. We have considered Nicholas Crypto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nicholas Crypto is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nicholas Crypto Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nicholas Crypto Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Nicholas Crypto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nicholas Crypto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nicholas Crypto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 4.24 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.85 | 15.97 | 0.76 |
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Nicholas Crypto Hype Timeline
Nicholas Crypto Income is currently traded for 15.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Nicholas is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.76%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Nicholas Crypto is about 7438.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.83. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 358.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 281.93 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nicholas Crypto to cross-verify your projections.Nicholas Crypto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nicholas Crypto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nicholas Crypto's future price movements. Getting to know how Nicholas Crypto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nicholas Crypto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EGGS | NestYield Total Return | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.19 | (3.38) | 9.41 | |
| OGSP | Spinnaker ETF Series | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.59) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 1.00 | |
| ZHDG | ZEGA Buy and | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.62 | (0.12) | 0.90 | (0.84) | 3.19 | |
| HEQQ | JPMorgan Nasdaq Hedged | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | (0.14) | 1.01 | (1.22) | 3.04 | |
| MFUL | Collaborative Investment Series | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.23 | (0.27) | 0.50 | (0.51) | 1.24 | |
| NBDS | Neuberger Berman Disrupters | (0.52) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.56 | (3.48) | 6.98 | |
| MCSE | Martin Currie Sustainable | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.81 | (0.1) | 1.26 | (1.40) | 3.58 | |
| IRTR | iShares Trust | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.19 | (0.16) | 0.52 | (0.49) | 1.53 | |
| DIVY | Tidal ETF Trust | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.26 | 0.15 | 1.68 | (1.11) | 3.26 | |
| GK | AdvisorShares Gerber Kawasaki | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.59 | (2.18) | 5.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nicholas Crypto
For every potential investor in Nicholas, whether a beginner or expert, Nicholas Crypto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nicholas Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nicholas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nicholas Crypto's price trends.Nicholas Crypto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nicholas Crypto etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nicholas Crypto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nicholas Crypto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nicholas Crypto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nicholas Crypto etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nicholas Crypto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nicholas Crypto etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Nicholas Crypto Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 85915.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2158 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.83 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.41 |
Nicholas Crypto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nicholas Crypto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nicholas Crypto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nicholas etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.26 | |||
| Variance | 18.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nicholas Crypto
The number of cover stories for Nicholas Crypto depends on current market conditions and Nicholas Crypto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nicholas Crypto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nicholas Crypto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nicholas Crypto to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Investors evaluate Nicholas Crypto Income using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nicholas Crypto's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nicholas Crypto's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nicholas Crypto's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nicholas Crypto should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nicholas Crypto's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.