Blue Label Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BLU Stock   520.00  2.00  0.39%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blue Label Telecoms on the next trading day is expected to be 518.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 391.18. Blue Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Blue Label stock prices and determine the direction of Blue Label Telecoms's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Blue Label's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Blue Label works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Blue Label Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blue Label Telecoms on the next trading day is expected to be 518.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.63, mean absolute percentage error of 74.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 391.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Label's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Blue Label Stock Forecast Pattern

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Blue Label Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Blue Label's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Label's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 517.00 and 520.10, respectively. We have considered Blue Label's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
520.00
517.00
Downside
518.55
Expected Value
520.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Label stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Label stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.8258
MADMean absolute deviation6.6301
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors391.1752
When Blue Label Telecoms prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Blue Label Telecoms trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Blue Label observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Blue Label

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Label Telecoms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
518.45520.00521.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
451.72453.27572.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
511.52529.00546.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Blue Label

For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Label's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Label's price trends.

Blue Label Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Label stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Label could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Label by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Blue Label Telecoms Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Blue Label's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Blue Label's current price.

Blue Label Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Label stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Label shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Label stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Label Telecoms entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Blue Label Risk Indicators

The analysis of Blue Label's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Label's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Blue Stock

Blue Label financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blue Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blue with respect to the benefits of owning Blue Label security.