Bursa Malaysia Index Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BMCON Index | 308.64 0.31 0.10% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bursa Malaysia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bursa Malaysia Construction from the perspective of Bursa Malaysia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bursa Malaysia Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 308.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.07. Bursa Malaysia after-hype prediction price | MYR 308.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as index price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any index could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. Bursa Malaysia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bursa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bursa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bursa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bursa Malaysia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bursa Malaysia Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 308.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.23, mean absolute percentage error of 8.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bursa Index prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bursa Malaysia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bursa Malaysia Index Forecast Pattern
Bursa Malaysia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bursa Malaysia's Index value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bursa Malaysia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 307.73 and 309.55, respectively. We have considered Bursa Malaysia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bursa Malaysia index data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bursa Malaysia index, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3743 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2732 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2345 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0072 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 134.07 |
Predictive Modules for Bursa Malaysia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bursa Malaysia Const. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the index market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the index market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bursa Malaysia
For every potential investor in Bursa, whether a beginner or expert, Bursa Malaysia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bursa Index price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bursa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bursa Malaysia's price trends.Bursa Malaysia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bursa Malaysia index to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bursa Malaysia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bursa Malaysia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bursa Malaysia Const Technical and Predictive Analytics
The index market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bursa Malaysia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bursa Malaysia's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bursa Malaysia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bursa Malaysia index reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bursa Malaysia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bursa Malaysia index market strength indicators, traders can identify Bursa Malaysia Construction entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bursa Malaysia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bursa Malaysia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bursa Malaysia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bursa index prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6976 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8963 | |||
| Variance | 0.8034 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.