Biotech Medics Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

BMCS Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Biotech Medics Ne on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Biotech Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Biotech Medics' share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Biotech Medics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Biotech Medics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Biotech Medics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biotech Medics Ne, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Biotech Medics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biotech Medics Ne from the perspective of Biotech Medics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Biotech Medics Ne on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

Biotech Medics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biotech Medics to cross-verify your projections.

Biotech Medics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Biotech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biotech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biotech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Biotech Medics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Biotech Medics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Biotech Medics Ne on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000028, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biotech Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biotech Medics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Biotech Medics Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Biotech MedicsBiotech Medics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Biotech Medics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Biotech Medics' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Biotech Medics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000079 and 12.40, respectively. We have considered Biotech Medics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.000079
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
12.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biotech Medics pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biotech Medics pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.0311
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0353
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0144
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Biotech Medics Ne historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Biotech Medics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biotech Medics Ne. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biotech Medics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0112.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0112.40
Details

Biotech Medics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Biotech Medics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biotech Medics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Biotech Medics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Biotech Medics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Biotech Medics' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biotech Medics' historical news coverage. Biotech Medics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.40, respectively. We have considered Biotech Medics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
12.40
Upside
Biotech Medics is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biotech Medics Ne is based on 3 months time horizon.

Biotech Medics Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biotech Medics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biotech Medics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biotech Medics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.57 
12.39
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
26.58 
0.00  
Notes

Biotech Medics Hype Timeline

Biotech Medics Ne is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Biotech is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 26.58%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Biotech Medics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Biotech Medics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Biotech Medics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Biotech Medics Ne sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Biotech to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Biotech Medics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biotech Medics to cross-verify your projections.

Biotech Medics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Biotech Medics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biotech Medics' future price movements. Getting to know how Biotech Medics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biotech Medics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BINPBionoid Pharma 0.00 0 per month 14.95  0.10  35.00 (46.95) 176.17 
BMMJBody And Mind 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EDXCEndexx Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 15.38 (20.00) 72.86 
CTTHCTT Pharmaceutical Holdings 0.00 0 per month 8.71  0.09  21.39 (15.58) 70.25 
GXXYGalexxy Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MJNAMedical Marijuana I 0.00 0 per month 21.74  0.17  100.00 (50.00) 266.67 
PCYNProcyon 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SRUTFSproutly Canada 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HBRMHerborium Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.23  1,000.00 (100.00) 1,100 
LVVEFYooma Wellness 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Biotech Medics

For every potential investor in Biotech, whether a beginner or expert, Biotech Medics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Biotech Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Biotech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Biotech Medics' price trends.

Biotech Medics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biotech Medics pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biotech Medics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biotech Medics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Biotech Medics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biotech Medics pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biotech Medics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biotech Medics pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Biotech Medics Ne entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Biotech Medics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Biotech Medics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biotech Medics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biotech pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Biotech Medics

The number of cover stories for Biotech Medics depends on current market conditions and Biotech Medics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biotech Medics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biotech Medics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Biotech Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Biotech Medics' price analysis, check to measure Biotech Medics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biotech Medics is operating at the current time. Most of Biotech Medics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biotech Medics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biotech Medics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biotech Medics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.