VictoryShares WestEnd Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| BMDL Etf | 25.19 0.01 0.04% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of VictoryShares WestEnd Economic on the next trading day is expected to be 25.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.27. VictoryShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength momentum indicator of VictoryShares WestEnd's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VictoryShares WestEnd, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VictoryShares WestEnd hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VictoryShares WestEnd Economic from the perspective of VictoryShares WestEnd response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of VictoryShares WestEnd Economic on the next trading day is expected to be 25.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.27. VictoryShares WestEnd after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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VictoryShares WestEnd Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VictoryShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VictoryShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze VictoryShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VictoryShares WestEnd Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of VictoryShares WestEnd Economic on the next trading day is expected to be 25.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VictoryShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VictoryShares WestEnd's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VictoryShares WestEnd Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VictoryShares WestEnd | VictoryShares WestEnd Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VictoryShares WestEnd Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VictoryShares WestEnd's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VictoryShares WestEnd's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.02 and 25.42, respectively. We have considered VictoryShares WestEnd's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VictoryShares WestEnd etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VictoryShares WestEnd etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4996 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0528 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.2722 |
Predictive Modules for VictoryShares WestEnd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VictoryShares WestEnd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VictoryShares WestEnd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VictoryShares WestEnd After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VictoryShares WestEnd at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VictoryShares WestEnd or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VictoryShares WestEnd, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VictoryShares WestEnd Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VictoryShares WestEnd's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VictoryShares WestEnd's historical news coverage. VictoryShares WestEnd's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.20, respectively. We have considered VictoryShares WestEnd's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VictoryShares WestEnd is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VictoryShares WestEnd is based on 3 months time horizon.
VictoryShares WestEnd Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VictoryShares WestEnd is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VictoryShares WestEnd backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VictoryShares WestEnd, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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VictoryShares WestEnd Hype Timeline
VictoryShares WestEnd is currently traded for 25.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. VictoryShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on VictoryShares WestEnd is about 273.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.19. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VictoryShares WestEnd to cross-verify your projections.VictoryShares WestEnd Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VictoryShares WestEnd's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VictoryShares WestEnd's future price movements. Getting to know how VictoryShares WestEnd's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VictoryShares WestEnd may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSEC | Touchstone ETF Trust | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.14 | (0.37) | 0.27 | (0.15) | 1.47 | |
| QQQU | Direxion Shares ETF | 0.07 | 4 per month | 2.73 | (0.01) | 3.96 | (4.51) | 12.54 | |
| ISRA | VanEck Israel ETF | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.92 | 0.15 | 1.86 | (1.70) | 5.92 | |
| CGUI | Capital Group Fixed | (0.81) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (2.21) | 0.08 | (0.04) | 0.16 | |
| ECOW | Pacer Emerging Markets | (0.12) | 4 per month | 0.38 | 0.12 | 1.12 | (0.94) | 3.32 | |
| EWO | iShares MSCI Austria | 0.27 | 2 per month | 0.47 | 0.22 | 1.53 | (1.45) | 4.68 | |
| IEZ | iShares Oil Equipment | 0.08 | 3 per month | 1.36 | 0.21 | 4.02 | (2.46) | 9.31 | |
| EDGI | The Advisors Inner | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.59 | (0.01) | 1.06 | (1.22) | 2.53 | |
| MBCC | Northern Lights | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.75 | (0.13) | 1.15 | (1.25) | 3.34 | |
| ALAI | The Alger ETF | (0.24) | 2 per month | 1.67 | (0.07) | 1.79 | (2.86) | 6.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for VictoryShares WestEnd
For every potential investor in VictoryShares, whether a beginner or expert, VictoryShares WestEnd's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VictoryShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VictoryShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VictoryShares WestEnd's price trends.VictoryShares WestEnd Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VictoryShares WestEnd etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VictoryShares WestEnd could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VictoryShares WestEnd by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VictoryShares WestEnd Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VictoryShares WestEnd etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VictoryShares WestEnd shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VictoryShares WestEnd etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VictoryShares WestEnd Economic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.99 |
VictoryShares WestEnd Risk Indicators
The analysis of VictoryShares WestEnd's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VictoryShares WestEnd's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victoryshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1587 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1982 | |||
| Variance | 0.0393 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VictoryShares WestEnd
The number of cover stories for VictoryShares WestEnd depends on current market conditions and VictoryShares WestEnd's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VictoryShares WestEnd is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VictoryShares WestEnd's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VictoryShares WestEnd to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
The market value of VictoryShares WestEnd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VictoryShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VictoryShares WestEnd's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VictoryShares WestEnd's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VictoryShares WestEnd's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VictoryShares WestEnd's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VictoryShares WestEnd's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VictoryShares WestEnd is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VictoryShares WestEnd's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.