Beck Mack Mutual Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

BMPEX Fund  USD 27.99  0.27  0.96%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beck Mack Oliver on the next trading day is expected to be 28.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.69. Beck Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Beck Mack's share price is below 20 suggesting that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Beck Mack's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Beck Mack Oliver, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Beck Mack hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beck Mack Oliver from the perspective of Beck Mack response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beck Mack Oliver on the next trading day is expected to be 28.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.69.

Beck Mack after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beck Mack to cross-verify your projections.

Beck Mack Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Beck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Beck Mack is based on an artificially constructed time series of Beck Mack daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Beck Mack 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beck Mack Oliver on the next trading day is expected to be 28.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beck Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beck Mack's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beck Mack Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Beck MackBeck Mack Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Beck Mack Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beck Mack's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beck Mack's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.37 and 29.25, respectively. We have considered Beck Mack's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.99
28.31
Expected Value
29.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beck Mack mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beck Mack mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.9261
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0332
MADMean absolute deviation0.3904
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors20.6888
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Beck Mack Oliver 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Beck Mack

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beck Mack Oliver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Beck Mack's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.0627.9928.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6627.5928.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.6828.1328.57
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Beck Mack

For every potential investor in Beck, whether a beginner or expert, Beck Mack's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beck Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beck Mack's price trends.

Beck Mack Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beck Mack mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beck Mack could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beck Mack by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beck Mack Oliver Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beck Mack's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beck Mack's current price.

Beck Mack Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beck Mack mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beck Mack shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beck Mack mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Beck Mack Oliver entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beck Mack Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beck Mack's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beck Mack's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beck mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Beck Mutual Fund

Beck Mack financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beck Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beck with respect to the benefits of owning Beck Mack security.
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities