Biomerica Stock Forward View

BMRA Stock  USD 2.41  0.03  1.26%   
Biomerica Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Biomerica stock prices and determine the direction of Biomerica's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Biomerica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Biomerica's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Biomerica, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Biomerica's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biomerica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Biomerica's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
13
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Using Biomerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biomerica from the perspective of Biomerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biomerica on the next trading day is expected to be 2.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.60.

Biomerica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomerica to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Biomerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Biomerica Stock guide.

Biomerica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Biomerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biomerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biomerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Biomerica Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Biomerica's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1986-05-31
Previous Quarter
3.1 M
Current Value
2.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Biomerica is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Biomerica value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Biomerica Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biomerica on the next trading day is expected to be 2.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biomerica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biomerica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Biomerica Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Biomerica  Biomerica Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Biomerica Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Biomerica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Biomerica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.50, respectively. We have considered Biomerica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.41
2.31
Expected Value
5.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biomerica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biomerica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3381
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0754
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0305
SAESum of the absolute errors4.6022
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Biomerica. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Biomerica. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Biomerica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biomerica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.415.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.754.958.15
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details

Biomerica After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Biomerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biomerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Biomerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Biomerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Biomerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biomerica's historical news coverage. Biomerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 5.61, respectively. We have considered Biomerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.41
2.41
After-hype Price
5.61
Upside
Biomerica is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biomerica is based on 3 months time horizon.

Biomerica Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biomerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biomerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biomerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
3.20
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.41
2.41
0.00 
6,400  
Notes

Biomerica Hype Timeline

Biomerica is currently traded for 2.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Biomerica is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Biomerica is about 6808.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.41. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Biomerica recorded a loss per share of 1.53. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:8 split on the 21st of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomerica to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Biomerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Biomerica Stock guide.

Biomerica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Biomerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biomerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Biomerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biomerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SSKNSTRATA Skin Sciences 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.35 (7.30) 18.68 
IINNInspira Technologies Oxy(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.86 (6.96) 24.08 
PAVMPAVmed Inc 0.64 8 per month 7.76  0.01  11.52 (10.69) 111.24 
HSCSHeart Test Laboratories(0.01)6 per month 5.04  0.02  11.07 (6.48) 26.18 
ALZNAlzamend Neuro(0.08)8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.12 (5.56) 20.82 
LUCYInnovative Eyewear 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 9.70 (9.83) 57.39 
SINTSINTX Technologies 0.17 7 per month 5.02 (0.01) 9.09 (5.90) 32.00 
CELZCreative Medical Technology(0.26)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 8.61 (11.22) 32.74 
LFWDReWalk Robotics 0.00 5 per month 4.34  0  10.14 (6.58) 34.28 
PTHLPheton Holdings Ltd 0.05 6 per month 6.77  0.02  6.56 (9.84) 136.77 

Other Forecasting Options for Biomerica

For every potential investor in Biomerica, whether a beginner or expert, Biomerica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Biomerica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Biomerica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Biomerica's price trends.

Biomerica Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biomerica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biomerica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biomerica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Biomerica Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biomerica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biomerica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biomerica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Biomerica entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Biomerica Risk Indicators

The analysis of Biomerica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biomerica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biomerica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Biomerica

The number of cover stories for Biomerica depends on current market conditions and Biomerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biomerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biomerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Biomerica Short Properties

Biomerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Biomerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Biomerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Biomerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biomerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 M
When determining whether Biomerica offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Biomerica's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Biomerica Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Biomerica Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomerica to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Biomerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Biomerica Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biomerica. Projected growth potential of Biomerica fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Biomerica assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(1.53)
Revenue Per Share
2.009
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Return On Assets
(0.41)
Return On Equity
(0.70)
Understanding Biomerica requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Biomerica's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Biomerica's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Biomerica's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Biomerica's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Biomerica should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Biomerica's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.