Bintang Mitra Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

BMSR Stock  IDR 332.00  6.00  1.78%   
Bintang Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Bintang Mitra's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bintang Mitra, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bintang Mitra's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bintang Mitra Semestaraya, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bintang Mitra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bintang Mitra Semestaraya from the perspective of Bintang Mitra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bintang Mitra Semestaraya on the next trading day is expected to be 341.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 512.11.

Bintang Mitra after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 332.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bintang Mitra to cross-verify your projections.

Bintang Mitra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bintang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bintang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bintang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Bintang Mitra price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Bintang Mitra Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bintang Mitra Semestaraya on the next trading day is expected to be 341.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.26, mean absolute percentage error of 100.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 512.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bintang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bintang Mitra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bintang Mitra Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bintang Mitra  Bintang Mitra Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Bintang Mitra Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bintang Mitra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bintang Mitra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 339.07 and 344.25, respectively. We have considered Bintang Mitra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
332.00
339.07
Downside
341.66
Expected Value
344.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bintang Mitra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bintang Mitra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.5538
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation8.2599
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors512.1127
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Bintang Mitra Semestaraya historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Bintang Mitra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bintang Mitra Semestaraya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
329.41332.00334.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
320.91323.50365.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.97334.55349.43
Details

Bintang Mitra After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bintang Mitra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bintang Mitra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bintang Mitra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bintang Mitra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bintang Mitra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bintang Mitra's historical news coverage. Bintang Mitra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 329.41 and 334.59, respectively. We have considered Bintang Mitra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
332.00
329.41
Downside
332.00
After-hype Price
334.59
Upside
Bintang Mitra is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bintang Mitra Semestaraya is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bintang Mitra Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bintang Mitra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bintang Mitra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bintang Mitra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.59
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
332.00
332.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bintang Mitra Hype Timeline

Bintang Mitra Semestaraya is currently traded for 332.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bintang is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bintang Mitra is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 332.00. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bintang Mitra Semestaraya recorded earning per share (EPS) of 414.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of September 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bintang Mitra to cross-verify your projections.

Bintang Mitra Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bintang Mitra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bintang Mitra's future price movements. Getting to know how Bintang Mitra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bintang Mitra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Bintang Mitra

For every potential investor in Bintang, whether a beginner or expert, Bintang Mitra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bintang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bintang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bintang Mitra's price trends.

Bintang Mitra Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bintang Mitra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bintang Mitra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bintang Mitra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bintang Mitra Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bintang Mitra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bintang Mitra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bintang Mitra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bintang Mitra Semestaraya entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bintang Mitra Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bintang Mitra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bintang Mitra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bintang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bintang Mitra

The number of cover stories for Bintang Mitra depends on current market conditions and Bintang Mitra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bintang Mitra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bintang Mitra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bintang Mitra Short Properties

Bintang Mitra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bintang Mitra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bintang Mitra Semestaraya often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bintang Mitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bintang Mitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments229.4 B

Other Information on Investing in Bintang Stock

Bintang Mitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bintang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bintang with respect to the benefits of owning Bintang Mitra security.