Bristol-Myers Squibb Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| BMYMP Stock | USD 1,006 15.55 1.57% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bristol Myers Squibb on the next trading day is expected to be 966.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 47.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,882. Bristol-Myers Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Bristol-Myers |
Bristol-Myers Squibb Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bristol Myers Squibb on the next trading day is expected to be 966.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 47.25, mean absolute percentage error of 2,527, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,882.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bristol-Myers Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bristol-Myers Squibb's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bristol-Myers Squibb Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Bristol-Myers Squibb Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bristol-Myers Squibb's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bristol-Myers Squibb's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 962.83 and 969.82, respectively. We have considered Bristol-Myers Squibb's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bristol-Myers Squibb pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bristol-Myers Squibb pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.9451 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 47.2457 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0564 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2881.9896 |
Predictive Modules for Bristol-Myers Squibb
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bristol Myers Squibb. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bristol-Myers Squibb
For every potential investor in Bristol-Myers, whether a beginner or expert, Bristol-Myers Squibb's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bristol-Myers Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bristol-Myers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bristol-Myers Squibb's price trends.Bristol-Myers Squibb Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bristol-Myers Squibb pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bristol-Myers Squibb could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bristol-Myers Squibb by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bristol Myers Squibb Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bristol-Myers Squibb's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bristol-Myers Squibb's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Bristol-Myers Squibb Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bristol-Myers Squibb pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bristol-Myers Squibb shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bristol-Myers Squibb pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bristol Myers Squibb entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1005.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1005.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 7.77 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 15.55 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 81.22 |
Bristol-Myers Squibb Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bristol-Myers Squibb's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bristol-Myers Squibb's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bristol-myers pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Variance | 11.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Bristol-Myers Squibb
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bristol-Myers Squibb position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bristol-Myers Squibb will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Bristol-Myers Pink Sheet
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bristol-Myers Squibb could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bristol-Myers Squibb when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bristol-Myers Squibb - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bristol Myers Squibb to buy it.
The correlation of Bristol-Myers Squibb is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bristol-Myers Squibb moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bristol Myers Squibb moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bristol-Myers Squibb can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Bristol-Myers Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bristol-Myers Squibb's price analysis, check to measure Bristol-Myers Squibb's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bristol-Myers Squibb is operating at the current time. Most of Bristol-Myers Squibb's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bristol-Myers Squibb's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bristol-Myers Squibb's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bristol-Myers Squibb to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.