CEA Industries Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BNC Stock | 4.52 0.10 2.26% |
CEA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CEA Industries stock prices and determine the direction of CEA Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CEA Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of CEA Industries' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.89 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.72 | Wall Street Target Price 29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.042 |
Using CEA Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CEA Industries from the perspective of CEA Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CEA Industries using CEA Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CEA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CEA Industries' stock price.
CEA Industries Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CEA Industries' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CEA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CEA Industries stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 10.1217 | Short Percent 0.0143 | Short Ratio 0.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 16.5943 |
CEA Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEA Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.58.CEA Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CEA Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CEA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CEA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CEA Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CEA Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CEA Industries.
CEA Industries Implied Volatility | 1.96 |
CEA Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CEA Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CEA Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CEA Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when CEA Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEA Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.58. CEA Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 4.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEA Industries to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CEA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CEA Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CEA Industries trading at USD 4.52, that is roughly USD 0.005537 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CEA Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CEA Industries options at the current volatility level of 1.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CEA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CEA Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CEA Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CEA Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CEA Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to CEA Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CEA Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CEA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CEA Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CEA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CEA using various technical indicators. When you analyze CEA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CEA Industries Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEA Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CEA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CEA Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CEA Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CEA Industries | CEA Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CEA Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CEA Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CEA Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 10.67, respectively. We have considered CEA Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CEA Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CEA Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2869 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0328 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2763 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0458 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.5802 |
Predictive Modules for CEA Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEA Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CEA Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CEA Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CEA Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CEA Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CEA Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CEA Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CEA Industries' historical news coverage. CEA Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 10.58, respectively. We have considered CEA Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CEA Industries is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CEA Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
CEA Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CEA Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CEA Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CEA Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 6.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.52 | 4.42 | 0.00 |
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CEA Industries Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February CEA Industries is traded for 4.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CEA is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on CEA Industries is about 52900.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.52. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.21. CEA Industries had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:12 split on the 7th of June 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEA Industries to cross-verify your projections.CEA Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CEA Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CEA Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how CEA Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CEA Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AULT | Ault Alliance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZEVY | Lightning eMotors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9,999 | |
| CGRN | Capstone Green Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATTO | Atento SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WLMSQ | Williams Industrial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KWESW | KWESST Micro Systems | (0) | 6 per month | 15.53 | 0.07 | 49.20 | (31.47) | 130.66 | |
| KWE | KWESST Micro Systems | (0.1) | 5 per month | 7.76 | 0.10 | 16.23 | (14.33) | 118.70 | |
| ENG | ENGlobal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PITA | Heramba Electric Plc | (0.0009) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 47.83 | (40.87) | 110.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for CEA Industries
For every potential investor in CEA, whether a beginner or expert, CEA Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CEA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CEA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CEA Industries' price trends.CEA Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CEA Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CEA Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CEA Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CEA Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CEA Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CEA Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CEA Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CEA Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22904.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.303 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.56 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.1 |
CEA Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of CEA Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CEA Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.35 | |||
| Variance | 40.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CEA Industries
The number of cover stories for CEA Industries depends on current market conditions and CEA Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CEA Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CEA Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CEA Industries Short Properties
CEA Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when CEA Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CEA Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CEA Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEA Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 745 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEA Industries to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CEA Stock refer to our How to Trade CEA Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector continue expanding? Could CEA diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CEA Industries. Projected growth potential of CEA fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CEA Industries data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding CEA Industries requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CEA's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CEA Industries' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CEA Industries' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CEA Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CEA Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CEA Industries' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.