Bion Environmental OTC Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| BNET Stock | USD 0.20 0.01 5.26% |
Bion OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Bion Environmental's share price is at 51 suggesting that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bion Environmental, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bion Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bion Environmental Technologies from the perspective of Bion Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bion Environmental Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.65. Bion Environmental after-hype prediction price | USD 0.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bion |
Bion Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bion Environmental 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bion Environmental Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bion OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bion Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bion Environmental OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bion Environmental | Bion Environmental Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bion Environmental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bion Environmental's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bion Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 12.08, respectively. We have considered Bion Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bion Environmental otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bion Environmental otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.4338 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0011 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0114 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0646 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.65 |
Predictive Modules for Bion Environmental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bion Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bion Environmental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bion Environmental After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bion Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bion Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Bion Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bion Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bion Environmental's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bion Environmental's historical news coverage. Bion Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 12.08, respectively. We have considered Bion Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bion Environmental is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bion Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bion Environmental OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Bion Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bion Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bion Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.78 | 11.88 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
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Bion Environmental Hype Timeline
Bion Environmental is currently traded for 0.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Bion is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.78%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bion Environmental is about 23436.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Bion Environmental had 1:10 split on the 8th of July 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bion Environmental to cross-verify your projections.Bion Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bion Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bion Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how Bion Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bion Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INTWF | Sharc International Systems | 0.08 | 4 per month | 8.78 | (0) | 21.74 | (17.42) | 61.11 | |
| DOCKF | Beyond Medical Technologies | (0.13) | 7 per month | 18.75 | 0.14 | 93.33 | (54.55) | 381.88 | |
| ETCC | Environmmtl Tectonic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.51 | (5.22) | 16.00 | |
| AWAW | White Fox Ventures | (0.15) | 2 per month | 15.03 | 0.10 | 66.67 | (41.18) | 206.67 | |
| EFTI | Earthfirst Techs | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UCIX | Umbra Companies | (0) | 3 per month | 20.19 | 0.06 | 57.14 | (52.73) | 247.42 | |
| CHSTY | China High Speed | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.81 | |
| QUTIF | Questor Technology | (0.30) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.44 | |
| APGI | American Pwr Group | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 16.67 | (14.29) | 45.00 | |
| EXROF | Exro Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 21.44 | 0.10 | 66.67 | (50.00) | 150.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bion Environmental
For every potential investor in Bion, whether a beginner or expert, Bion Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bion OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bion Environmental's price trends.Bion Environmental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bion Environmental otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bion Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bion Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bion Environmental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bion Environmental otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bion Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bion Environmental otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bion Environmental Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.89 |
Bion Environmental Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bion Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bion Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bion otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.63 | |||
| Variance | 135.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 257.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 88.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bion Environmental
The number of cover stories for Bion Environmental depends on current market conditions and Bion Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bion Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bion Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bion Environmental Short Properties
Bion Environmental's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bion Environmental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bion Environmental Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bion Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bion Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 38 M |
Additional Tools for Bion OTC Stock Analysis
When running Bion Environmental's price analysis, check to measure Bion Environmental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bion Environmental is operating at the current time. Most of Bion Environmental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bion Environmental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bion Environmental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bion Environmental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.