BOC Hong Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

BNKHF Stock  USD 5.15  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BOC Hong Kong on the next trading day is expected to be 5.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.15. BOC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BOC Hong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through BOC Hong price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

BOC Hong Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BOC Hong Kong on the next trading day is expected to be 5.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BOC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BOC Hong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BOC Hong Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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BOC Hong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BOC Hong's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BOC Hong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.52 and 6.84, respectively. We have considered BOC Hong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.15
5.18
Expected Value
6.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BOC Hong pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BOC Hong pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4172
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1335
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors8.1462
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as BOC Hong Kong historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for BOC Hong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOC Hong Kong. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.505.156.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.334.976.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BOC Hong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BOC Hong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BOC Hong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BOC Hong Kong.

Other Forecasting Options for BOC Hong

For every potential investor in BOC, whether a beginner or expert, BOC Hong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BOC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BOC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BOC Hong's price trends.

BOC Hong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BOC Hong pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BOC Hong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BOC Hong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BOC Hong Kong Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BOC Hong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BOC Hong's current price.

BOC Hong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BOC Hong pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BOC Hong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BOC Hong pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BOC Hong Kong entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BOC Hong Risk Indicators

The analysis of BOC Hong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BOC Hong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in BOC Pink Sheet

BOC Hong financial ratios help investors to determine whether BOC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BOC with respect to the benefits of owning BOC Hong security.