Bionik Laboratories Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bionik Laboratories Corp on the next trading day is expected to be -0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66. Bionik Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Bionik Laboratories is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bionik Laboratories Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bionik Laboratories Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bionik Laboratories Corp on the next trading day is expected to be -0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bionik Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bionik Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bionik Laboratories Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Bionik Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bionik Laboratories' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bionik Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.68, respectively. We have considered Bionik Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
-0.02
Expected Value
12.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bionik Laboratories pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bionik Laboratories pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.7887
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0108
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6614
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bionik Laboratories Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bionik Laboratories. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bionik Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bionik Laboratories Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bionik Laboratories

For every potential investor in Bionik, whether a beginner or expert, Bionik Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bionik Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bionik. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bionik Laboratories' price trends.

Bionik Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bionik Laboratories pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bionik Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bionik Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bionik Laboratories Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bionik Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bionik Laboratories' current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Bionik Pink Sheet

Bionik Laboratories financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bionik Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bionik with respect to the benefits of owning Bionik Laboratories security.