Bougainville Copper Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Bougainville Copper Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bougainville price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bougainville using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bougainville charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Bougainville Copper - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Bougainville Copper prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Bougainville Copper price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Bougainville Copper.

Bougainville Copper Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bougainville Copper Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10.

Bougainville Copper Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bougainville Copper

Bougainville Copper Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Bougainville Copper Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bougainville Copper pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bougainville Copper pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Bougainville Copper observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Bougainville Copper Limited observations.

Predictive Modules for Bougainville Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bougainville Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.02 0.40 3.67 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.02 0.32 3.59 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.28 0.36 0.44 Details

Bougainville Copper After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Bougainville Copper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Bougainville Copper Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Bougainville Copper Hype Timeline

Bougainville Copper is currently traded for 0.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.4. Bougainville is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bougainville Copper is about 255.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bougainville Copper to cross-verify your projections.

Bougainville Copper Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Bougainville Copper

For every potential investor in Bougainville, whether a beginner or expert, Bougainville Copper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bougainville Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bougainville. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bougainville Copper's price trends.

Bougainville Copper Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Bougainville Copper Market Strength Events

Bougainville Copper Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Bougainville Copper

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Bougainville Pink Sheet