B3 SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| BOLSY Stock | USD 8.87 0.17 1.95% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of B3 SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.94. BOLSY Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of B3 SA's pink sheet price is slightly above 64 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling BOLSY, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using B3 SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of B3 SA from the perspective of B3 SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of B3 SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.94. B3 SA after-hype prediction price | USD 8.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BOLSY |
B3 SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BOLSY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BOLSY using various technical indicators. When you analyze BOLSY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
B3 SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of B3 SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BOLSY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that B3 SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
B3 SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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B3 SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting B3 SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. B3 SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.72 and 11.49, respectively. We have considered B3 SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of B3 SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent B3 SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3501 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3539 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0486 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.9427 |
Predictive Modules for B3 SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as B3 SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of B3 SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
B3 SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of B3 SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in B3 SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of B3 SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
B3 SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting B3 SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on B3 SA's historical news coverage. B3 SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.51 and 12.23, respectively. We have considered B3 SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
B3 SA is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of B3 SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
B3 SA Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as B3 SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading B3 SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with B3 SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 3.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.87 | 8.87 | 0.00 |
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B3 SA Hype Timeline
B3 SA is currently traded for 8.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BOLSY is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.62%. %. The volatility of related hype on B3 SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.87. The book value of the company was currently reported as 10.48. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of B3 SA to cross-verify your projections.B3 SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to B3 SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict B3 SA's future price movements. Getting to know how B3 SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how B3 SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JPXGY | Japan Exchange Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.38 | (2.89) | 9.87 | |
| SPXCF | Singapore Exchange Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | (0.03) | 4.94 | (6.20) | 23.33 | |
| IAUGY | Insurance Australia Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.88 | (3.39) | 12.59 | |
| OSCUF | Japan Exchange Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.49 | 0 | 9.83 | (8.18) | 29.68 | |
| RAIFY | Raiffeisen Bank International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.53 | 0.13 | 5.25 | (4.08) | 12.57 | |
| BPCGF | Banco Comercial Portugus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35 | |
| BBSEY | BB Seguridade Participacoes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.1 | 3.76 | (3.02) | 9.44 | |
| AGESY | ageas SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0 | 1.68 | (1.54) | 5.23 | |
| ISDAY | Israel Discount Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EUXTF | Euronext NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.47 | (1.86) | 6.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for B3 SA
For every potential investor in BOLSY, whether a beginner or expert, B3 SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BOLSY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BOLSY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying B3 SA's price trends.B3 SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with B3 SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of B3 SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing B3 SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
B3 SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how B3 SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading B3 SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying B3 SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify B3 SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
B3 SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of B3 SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in B3 SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bolsy pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Variance | 11.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for B3 SA
The number of cover stories for B3 SA depends on current market conditions and B3 SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that B3 SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about B3 SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for BOLSY Pink Sheet Analysis
When running B3 SA's price analysis, check to measure B3 SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy B3 SA is operating at the current time. Most of B3 SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of B3 SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move B3 SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of B3 SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.