Bon Ton Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| BONTQ Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Bon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Bon Ton's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bon Ton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bon Ton Stores from the perspective of Bon Ton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bon Ton Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Bon Ton after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bon |
Bon Ton Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bon Ton Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bon Ton Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bon Ton's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bon Ton Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bon Ton | Bon Ton Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bon Ton Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bon Ton's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bon Ton's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Bon Ton's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bon Ton pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bon Ton pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.3989 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Bon Ton
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bon Ton Stores. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bon Ton's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bon Ton After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bon Ton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bon Ton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bon Ton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bon Ton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bon Ton's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bon Ton's historical news coverage. Bon Ton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Bon Ton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bon Ton is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bon Ton Stores is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bon Ton Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bon Ton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bon Ton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bon Ton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Bon Ton Hype Timeline
Bon Ton Stores is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bon Ton is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.49. Bon Ton Stores last dividend was issued on the 14th of October 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bon Ton to cross-verify your projections.Bon Ton Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bon Ton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bon Ton's future price movements. Getting to know how Bon Ton's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bon Ton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARVLF | Arrival | (0.0009) | 9 per month | 27.31 | 0.22 | 200.00 | (66.67) | 490.00 | |
| AZDDQ | Azure Dynamics Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PLNTQ | Proliance International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IBGR | Nexus Energy Services | (0) | 2 per month | 9.90 | 0.03 | 29.55 | (17.07) | 146.22 | |
| OBDP | Orbit Drop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SIMPQ | Simply Inc | 0.0002 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CVSC | Cardiovascular Sciences | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KIDBQ | Kid Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ASAPQ | Waitr Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PLWY | peoplesway | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bon Ton
For every potential investor in Bon, whether a beginner or expert, Bon Ton's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bon Ton's price trends.Bon Ton Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bon Ton pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bon Ton could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bon Ton by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bon Ton Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bon Ton pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bon Ton shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bon Ton pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bon Ton Stores entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Bon Ton
The number of cover stories for Bon Ton depends on current market conditions and Bon Ton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bon Ton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bon Ton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Bon Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bon Ton's price analysis, check to measure Bon Ton's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bon Ton is operating at the current time. Most of Bon Ton's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bon Ton's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bon Ton's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bon Ton to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.