Borussia Dortmund Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BORUF Stock  USD 3.86  0.04  1.03%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borussia Dortmund GmbH on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.31. Borussia Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Borussia Dortmund's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Borussia Dortmund simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Borussia Dortmund GmbH are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Borussia Dortmund GmbH prices get older.

Borussia Dortmund Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borussia Dortmund GmbH on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Borussia Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Borussia Dortmund's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Borussia Dortmund Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Borussia Dortmund Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Borussia Dortmund's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Borussia Dortmund's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.79, respectively. We have considered Borussia Dortmund's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.86
3.87
Expected Value
8.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Borussia Dortmund pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Borussia Dortmund pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.9
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0072
MADMean absolute deviation0.1218
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0311
SAESum of the absolute errors7.3097
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Borussia Dortmund GmbH forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Borussia Dortmund observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Borussia Dortmund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borussia Dortmund GmbH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Borussia Dortmund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.868.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.268.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Borussia Dortmund

For every potential investor in Borussia, whether a beginner or expert, Borussia Dortmund's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Borussia Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Borussia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Borussia Dortmund's price trends.

Borussia Dortmund Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Borussia Dortmund pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Borussia Dortmund could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Borussia Dortmund by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Borussia Dortmund GmbH Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Borussia Dortmund's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Borussia Dortmund's current price.

Borussia Dortmund Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Borussia Dortmund pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Borussia Dortmund shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Borussia Dortmund pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Borussia Dortmund GmbH entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Borussia Dortmund Risk Indicators

The analysis of Borussia Dortmund's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Borussia Dortmund's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting borussia pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Borussia Pink Sheet

Borussia Dortmund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Borussia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Borussia with respect to the benefits of owning Borussia Dortmund security.